GRADEDLP

Current boards · sealed standards · published verdicts

Verdicts: what to expect, and the record as it lands

Market risk only. These calls measure what ordinary price movement does to a position. They say nothing about smart-contract bugs, hacks, depegs, rug pulls or the protocol itself.

Every current board is judged every 28 days on its whole record so far, under a standard sealed and published before its first forecast. The verdicts are mechanical: the rule decides, and every verdict is published, including the unflattering ones.

Said in advance: the first verdicts can only read UNTESTED or INVALID.

Under every board's sealed rule, a board needs at least 42 matured freeze days before it can be shown wrong (EVIDENCE AGAINST) and 84 before it can pass (CALIBRATED). Verdict 1 covers 28 days, so it cannot do either. It reads UNTESTED, meaning not enough evidence yet (not a win), or INVALID if the board broke its own rules (froze on fewer than 70% of days, or more than 10% of its rows could not be graded). The first verdict that can fail a board is verdict 2; the first that can pass one is verdict 3. Running numbers before then are on the calibration page; they describe, they do not judge.

Schedule

BoardFirst freezeVerdict 1 coversVerdict 1 due First that can fail itFirst that can pass itRule
OP v22026-09-222026-09-22 → 2026-10-19~2026-11-04verdict 2 · ~2026-12-02verdict 3 · ~2026-12-30sealed rule
SUI v22026-09-252026-09-25 → 2026-10-22~2026-11-07verdict 2 · ~2026-12-05verdict 3 · ~2027-01-02sealed rule
AVAX v22026-09-252026-09-25 → 2026-10-22~2026-11-07verdict 2 · ~2026-12-05verdict 3 · ~2027-01-02sealed rule
BSC v22026-09-292026-09-29 → 2026-10-26~2026-11-11verdict 2 · ~2026-12-09verdict 3 · ~2027-01-06sealed rule
Base v22026-09-292026-09-29 → 2026-10-26~2026-11-11verdict 2 · ~2026-12-09verdict 3 · ~2027-01-06sealed rule
Base v42026-10-012026-10-01 → 2026-10-28~2026-11-13verdict 2 · ~2026-12-11verdict 3 · ~2027-01-08sealed rule
HyperEVM v22026-09-292026-09-29 → 2026-10-26~2026-11-11verdict 2 · ~2026-12-09verdict 3 · ~2027-01-06sealed rule
Monad v22026-09-302026-09-30 → 2026-10-27~2026-11-12verdict 2 · ~2026-12-10verdict 3 · ~2027-01-07sealed rule
Poolwatch v22026-09-252026-09-25 → 2026-10-22~2026-11-07verdict 2 · ~2026-12-05verdict 3 · ~2027-01-02sealed rule
Market Weather2026-09-212026-09-21 → 2026-10-18~2026-11-03verdict 2 · ~2026-12-01verdict 3 · ~2026-12-29sealed rule
XRPL v22026-09-232026-09-23 → 2026-10-20~2026-11-05verdict 2 · ~2026-12-03verdict 3 · ~2026-12-31sealed rule
Fee Coverage (challenger)2026-10-062026-10-06 → 2026-11-02~2026-11-18verdict 2 · ~2026-12-16verdict 3 · ~2027-01-13sealed rule

"Due" = the end of the period + 14 days for the last window to close + 2 days' margin, as fixed in each board's publisher. A board's freeze coverage against the 70% floor is on the status page.

Published verdicts · current boards

None yet. The first is due around 2026-11-03 (28 days from now). It will appear here the day it is published, failures first.

SOL v2

SOL v2 (AVOID / WATCH / OK tiers on Orca pools) is judged per daily cohort under its own sealed standard. Published so far: 9 UNTESTED. SOL v2 board →

Older streams

Verdicts of retired streams (SOL-MC, SUI-MC, XRPL-MC, OP-MC, Pool IQ) stay on the record, with their numbers and hashes, on the verification page.

Built 2026-10-06 22:50 UTC from the public record only.