Every prediction below was cryptographically sealed and published to a public, append-only repository before the window it forecasts had closed. This page is generated from those published artifacts. You do not have to take any of it on trust — the last section shows you how to check every hash yourself in about a minute.
Most published track records are assembled after the fact, when the author already knows which calls worked. That is not a track record; it is a selection. The only way to make a forecast falsifiable is to fix it in public beforehand and let it be graded against rules that were also fixed beforehand.
So the interesting part of this page is not the wins. It is that the rules, the limitations, and the results that came back inconclusive are all here, in the same immutable record, with the same hashes.
Jump to: The record · Results · What it cannot show · XRP Ledger timestamps · Check it yourself · Pipeline status
240 artifacts published across 26 prediction streams (OP-MC v1 genesis cohort: TOP 10 / CONTROL 10 / RESERVES 9 (29-pool universe), avax-v2, base-v2, base-v4, breach-probability-family, bsc-v2, code, fee-coverage, funding and independence (all boards and pages), hyperevm-v2, market-weather, mc-forecast, monad-v2, op-mc, op-v2, poolwatch, poolwatch-v2, sol-v2, solana, sui, sui-v2, tier-forecast, xrpl, xrpl + xrpl-mc, xrpl-mc, xrpl-v2). Each carries its own SHA-256 over its canonical form. Every hash shown here was recomputed at build time from the published file — this page refuses to build if any artifact fails to verify.
| artifact | stream | kind | issued | xrpl anchor (existed by) | sha256 (canonical) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| prereg/avax-v2/20260925_144132_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | avax-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-25T14:41:32Z | 2026-09-25 15:07Z ledger 107228485 25 min after issue | sha256:1cdf727ba349ca2e296cd1cc23d6e81ad79890972358a21b3019122fa0714bed |
| prereg/avax-v2/20260926_144004_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | avax-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-26T14:40:04Z | 2026-09-26 15:07Z ledger 107250742 27 min after issue | sha256:e19a01c87eec11350947a977cacbc637c7831ff49f42c370d9ebdf9eab6b3f45 |
| prereg/avax-v2/20260927_144004_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | avax-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-27T14:40:04Z | 2026-09-27 15:37Z ledger 107273310 57 min after issue | sha256:e64cc549fe6088d961be0652dd2467510c7144e667b7392cad965e6f07c40e49 |
| prereg/avax-v2/20260929_144004_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | avax-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-29T14:40:04Z | 2026-09-29 15:07Z ledger 107317285 27 min after issue | sha256:e52212f6cbcc35a74ff7671024fcfb3e6acd7cd02ede7dd42114e034190f6116 |
| prereg/avax-v2/20260930_144004_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | avax-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-30T14:40:04Z | 2026-09-30 15:07Z ledger 107339559 27 min after issue | sha256:ea3bc670f9651556598da1c5121dd511dee93932b5c7b07f8382bfbf81cd9c59 |
| prereg/avax-v2/20261001_144004_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | avax-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-01T14:40:04Z | 2026-10-01 15:07Z ledger 107361929 27 min after issue | sha256:940e28aee8e2f49d601e5f9d369496e41fee385faad644da3cc571608fd8725b |
| prereg/avax-v2/20261002_144004_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | avax-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-02T14:40:04Z | 2026-10-02 15:07Z ledger 107384180 27 min after issue | sha256:e6b6f9f1a46054d9fbb589384e4e21cd132c383b989bb9826f26b08da630a403 |
| prereg/avax-v2/20261003_144004_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | avax-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-03T14:40:04Z | 2026-10-03 15:07Z ledger 107406630 27 min after issue | sha256:452db89de338427f21e3597523fb8a4ae8de353be6c512ddcce9210c8b2a3d54 |
| prereg/avax-v2/20261004_144005_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | avax-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-04T14:40:05Z | 2026-10-04 15:07Z ledger 107429353 27 min after issue | sha256:33a99cdf65401608cdca475d40f37833c2e9cbe843d065eb85f37f23ee14196e |
| prereg/avax-v2/20261005_144005_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | avax-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-05T14:40:05Z | 2026-10-05 15:07Z ledger 107451951 27 min after issue | sha256:1e6b7450e18fb1ec6a2160b0e1a81a8aa14f54c88ecfe234d67bd6a9fda84076 |
| prereg/avax-v2/20261006_144005_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | avax-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T14:40:05Z | 2026-10-06 15:07Z ledger 107474268 27 min after issue | sha256:8b12b22fdc0226228243c2704f4f4fd319dfa86237e0ba16550b3ee92d2009c4 |
| prereg/base-v2/20260929_134210_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | base-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-29T13:42:10Z | 2026-09-29 14:07Z ledger 107316357 25 min after issue | sha256:8dbf84b7f3f2b6c776bac6c16a3ec2c25af5e9480acde8e84ce1f100097e3262 |
| prereg/base-v2/20260930_134009_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | base-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-30T13:40:09Z | 2026-09-30 14:07Z ledger 107338633 27 min after issue | sha256:e6b382316485e47792164fbef2b17198553815f753dec1bfb91c0f60a1343e5f |
| prereg/base-v2/20261001_134009_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | base-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-01T13:40:09Z | 2026-10-01 14:07Z ledger 107360999 27 min after issue | sha256:70173fe6619012e577201dd20542bdc77ceff3e7c57ed36fa6db60bd1cef0d09 |
| prereg/base-v2/20261002_134009_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | base-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-02T13:40:09Z | 2026-10-02 14:07Z ledger 107383254 27 min after issue | sha256:e7287a82dc053d063c8ca55fb5b9032177e59a860930c9d386c5407637097b0b |
| prereg/base-v2/20261003_134009_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | base-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-03T13:40:09Z | 2026-10-03 14:07Z ledger 107405693 27 min after issue | sha256:0120a7984900d43598db9e73703b54dd1a2e1bf48669192240e4d4f16252858f |
| prereg/base-v2/20261004_134009_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | base-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-04T13:40:09Z | 2026-10-04 14:07Z ledger 107428419 27 min after issue | sha256:72bec0eedf245b616169db3c958ddfcab956067675e1a40dd4defc1108e12c75 |
| prereg/base-v2/20261005_134009_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | base-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-05T13:40:09Z | 2026-10-05 14:07Z ledger 107451022 27 min after issue | sha256:ccc76958086fc673639fedac33901d8dfc34076f831b9d328a2dfeeecdfe6428 |
| prereg/base-v2/20261006_134009_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | base-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T13:40:09Z | 2026-10-06 14:07Z ledger 107473335 26 min after issue | sha256:b0a7c799831c38c08737ab9f25e10272dfbdd37f6bbf8795cc170d5902c5411c |
| prereg/base-v4/20261001_135601_base-v4_preregistered_at_prediction.json | base-v4 | pre-registration | 2026-10-01T13:56:01Z | 2026-10-01 14:07Z ledger 107360999 11 min after issue | sha256:ce05b81d0902f06ef8129f69fb12515b2c234f2438055065cadf08f5d8aeda3c |
| prereg/base-v4/20261002_135503_base-v4_preregistered_at_prediction.json | base-v4 | pre-registration | 2026-10-02T13:55:03Z | 2026-10-02 14:07Z ledger 107383254 12 min after issue | sha256:ff20d14f044ada526444ec6d9fbcc238a756ebd88d428af4386d143b9159ac4f |
| prereg/base-v4/20261003_135503_base-v4_preregistered_at_prediction.json | base-v4 | pre-registration | 2026-10-03T13:55:03Z | 2026-10-03 14:07Z ledger 107405693 12 min after issue | sha256:1af8aaa72a523191e81eaadfc8a6b04e899d3805a779cae3772fbe823c9ba967 |
| prereg/base-v4/20261004_135503_base-v4_preregistered_at_prediction.json | base-v4 | pre-registration | 2026-10-04T13:55:03Z | 2026-10-04 14:07Z ledger 107428419 12 min after issue | sha256:f7e6c7388fce7854a62454b47bc7a1c4840b5762a0eb3eaf4271db579d1f2a1a |
| prereg/base-v4/20261005_135503_base-v4_preregistered_at_prediction.json | base-v4 | pre-registration | 2026-10-05T13:55:03Z | 2026-10-05 14:07Z ledger 107451022 12 min after issue | sha256:e3458919a161bad4e0688740521fba1e0cfd1fe80d11fc9d4836bce07db850fc |
| prereg/base-v4/20261006_135503_base-v4_preregistered_at_prediction.json | base-v4 | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T13:55:03Z | 2026-10-06 14:07Z ledger 107473335 11 min after issue | sha256:69bff516932478064640155b2b09a9ed365e18fe4ab1b68e2878d3d595d3fb64 |
| prereg/bsc-v2/20260929_131201_bsc-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | bsc-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-29T13:12:01Z | 2026-09-29 13:37Z ledger 107315896 25 min after issue | sha256:55e27eb63b2d8b7047e70dcd8a4a13f913e6920774a05d46977164e93196d80e |
| prereg/bsc-v2/20260930_131006_bsc-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | bsc-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-30T13:10:06Z | 2026-09-30 13:37Z ledger 107338170 27 min after issue | sha256:82f23ff5fb81f66ab3a1ec7c3033e8bc58430746c6982e12c4f7d955ce1e52de |
| prereg/bsc-v2/20261001_131006_bsc-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | bsc-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-01T13:10:06Z | 2026-10-01 13:37Z ledger 107360531 27 min after issue | sha256:458e87bc2a34aba3ad7c6cc67c025c4889c87c8735149f1e4f9bc896a26b2bcf |
| prereg/bsc-v2/20261002_131006_bsc-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | bsc-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-02T13:10:06Z | 2026-10-02 13:37Z ledger 107382794 27 min after issue | sha256:75025b5fb4e713aaa1fa0355e7413895b41bcf4d10d3ec47c6d1a7abc3b90f57 |
| prereg/bsc-v2/20261003_131006_bsc-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | bsc-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-03T13:10:06Z | 2026-10-03 13:37Z ledger 107405222 27 min after issue | sha256:588f5b349c866e2d3e27ab1f809d89d4b919ad6686f2b121303e38be8c4b2638 |
| prereg/bsc-v2/20261004_131006_bsc-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | bsc-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-04T13:10:06Z | 2026-10-04 13:37Z ledger 107427946 27 min after issue | sha256:65635ee7ce8ed4559c18be099cbbb222b5c1558e2d832c3631236429522a8ea6 |
| prereg/bsc-v2/20261005_131006_bsc-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | bsc-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-05T13:10:06Z | 2026-10-05 13:37Z ledger 107450555 27 min after issue | sha256:947abf30d2222dbee4428e12ed210e56403f76d26bc896486d6d18377815fe84 |
| prereg/bsc-v2/20261006_131006_bsc-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | bsc-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T13:10:06Z | 2026-10-06 13:37Z ledger 107472873 27 min after issue | sha256:553689eb70353dde80b119563e26f68755c1e3420fa9cd949b79287dba2be234 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260806_135520_poolwatch_addendum_two_store.json POOLWATCH PRE-REGISTRATION ADDENDUM - two-store divergence and freeze-to-publish lag | poolwatch | addendum / disclosure | 2026-08-06T13:55:20Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:0e99b44239624ba59c4945400740b4e680035f7b7d7a07c850837bd4be66827a |
| prereg/disclosures/20260806_135520_xrpl_addendum_outcome_citation.json XRPL PRE-REGISTRATION ADDENDUM - circular outcome citations in recorded manifests | xrpl | addendum / disclosure | 2026-08-06T13:55:20Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:6dd05ad6b12e73d93e2c13edf3520281a60f7448e61282dbe01eaa42b710c4ba |
| prereg/disclosures/20260806_220100_solana_acceptance_standard.json SOL GRADER ACCEPTANCE STANDARD - what counts as calibrated, pre-committed before the first resolution | solana | acceptance standard | 2026-08-06T22:01:00Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:dfa8ebef311efe3d76a6d9b9a178b744e1b16560ba50a850cc1f020deb643159 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260818_120000_sui_acceptance_standard.json SUI GRADER ACCEPTANCE STANDARD - what counts as calibrated, pre-committed before the first resolution | sui | acceptance standard | 2026-08-18T12:00:00Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:dbbe0cef37bf8f91da7bdb6199e6d9bf0d7f2d02263ca5d75dd154a3776b0293 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260819_160000_xrpl-mc_genesis_acceptance_standard.json XRPL-MC GENESIS ACCEPTANCE STANDARD (DRY-RUN) - founding cohort restricted acceptance | xrpl-mc | acceptance standard | 2026-08-19T16:00:00Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:bb41474df866d7ea3c7319c23a0938e441b1b13f018d13ac96a001495d856c50 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260904_191500_xrpl-mc_addendum_instrumentation_scope.json XRPL-MC PRE-REGISTRATION ADDENDUM - the post-genesis daily stream is instrumentation, not graded claims | xrpl-mc | addendum / disclosure | 2026-09-04T19:15:00Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:2ef48e1b248190a3faf4dce799925d4ac25af649bce761438f834b3bbd0dc1cd |
| prereg/disclosures/20260910_162245_standing_acceptance_standard_v1_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - THE FIXED RULE (DRAFT v1, pending seal) | mc-forecast | acceptance standard | 2026-09-10T11:55:00Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:56455e37a9f70d7af3349518e4cda04a258dde7b855ed0f7b0fdad32e7d7a765 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260914_161534_standing_acceptance_standard_bbm_v1_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - TIER-FORECAST family (BBM) - DRAFT, pending seal | tier-forecast | acceptance standard | 2026-09-14T16:15:34Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:1be7961093e2b36ad85b71e0a5406a384ae52c385344938ed13834bae0fbdb29 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260921_115606_standing_acceptance_standard_bbm_v1_1_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - TIER-FORECAST family (BBM) v1.1 - adds the OUT_OF_RANGE claim - DRAFT, pending seal | tier-forecast | acceptance standard | 2026-09-21T11:56:06Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:641e0b978933eebf484f9ce18af8f49bb1538f5eb78adcb70f9f4099de502921 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260921_135454_standing_acceptance_standard_mw_v1_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - MARKET WEATHER (probability-of-breach family) v1 - DRAFT, pending seal | market-weather | acceptance standard | 2026-09-21T13:54:54Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:15f28985adf632bc8ca3232eb31ecc61c8255ef86aa1ab7b21310eb2326fdb7b |
| prereg/disclosures/20260921_174238_solana_addendum_v1_retirement.json SOL v1 PRE-REGISTRATION ADDENDUM - v1 retired, superseded by SOL v2; which v1 cohorts will and will not receive a verdict | solana | addendum / disclosure | 2026-09-21T17:42:38Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:25687e385be736c29ffe26ea183836dad67af682728bb23e5acfc6b6a939d78c |
| prereg/disclosures/20260922_133230_standing_acceptance_standard_op_v2_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - OP v2 (Optimism pool weather, probability-of-breach family) v1 | op-v2 | acceptance standard | 2026-09-22T13:32:30Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:83377977f089c5da18bec663b14bf773de6d030a7035cfd521650cdd151d37a6 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260923_151756_standing_acceptance_standard_xrpl_v2_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - XRPL v2 (LP-vs-HOLD loss-probability family) v1 | xrpl-v2 | acceptance standard | 2026-09-23T15:17:56Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:6b47740f593f3b408346a3e11b49ded9fd3659c3bb3b6e50a42c242a67869a03 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260923_160637_xrpl_addendum_pooliq_and_xrpl-mc_closed.json XRPL PRE-REGISTRATION ADDENDUM - Pool IQ and XRPL-MC are closed; the question they were built to answer is now answered forward, daily, by XRPL v2 | xrpl + xrpl-mc | addendum / disclosure | 2026-09-23T16:06:37Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:1e6a22f291ead48dd498ac83f56bf1d92caa888ddffa91764cc840e547c508ca |
| prereg/disclosures/20260923_205507_standing_acceptance_standard_mw_v1_1_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - MARKET WEATHER v1.1 ADDENDUM - DRAFT, pending seal | market-weather | acceptance standard | 2026-09-23T20:55:07Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:4ebf3cda4bb8fd4f01f90638fc847f5be74e91baddcc63e4c3e0cbc799311e3e |
| prereg/disclosures/20260924_074559_standing_acceptance_standard_poolwatch_v2_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - POOLWATCH v2 (probability-of-breach family) v1 | poolwatch-v2 | acceptance standard | 2026-09-24T07:45:59Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:f734678a452d9e8401ddd2b7295219f97e3d6b737546a0e8db2170c72af8e7f2 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260924_153852_standing_acceptance_standard_mw_grid_v1_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - MARKET WEATHER RANGE GRID v1 - DRAFT, pending seal | market-weather | acceptance standard | 2026-09-24T15:38:52Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:5fd224392408673a6af303fe1b7f575041f2479fd3cba4135e48f74473fa3bf5 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260925_085128_standing_acceptance_standard_avax_v2_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - AVAX v2 (probability-of-breach family) v1 | avax-v2 | acceptance standard | 2026-09-25T08:51:28Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:5d27195f6079773f16b0c959d000eb0b55198905b32f1d506114023a0de15cfb |
| prereg/disclosures/20260925_085128_standing_acceptance_standard_sui_v2_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - SUI v2 (probability-of-breach family) v1 | sui-v2 | acceptance standard | 2026-09-25T08:51:28Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:f9961a9a4b6bdb93e77e7ce7c696bdc209ac0f7bc76dcaf2fb338e5119f7c345 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260925_085541_standing_acceptance_standard_poolwatch_v2_addendum_1.json Poolwatch v2 standing standard - addendum 1: freeze instant moves 08:30 -> 09:30 UTC (snapshot race found at the first freeze) | poolwatch-v2 | acceptance standard | 2026-09-25T08:55:41Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:0e3fadc9af0b025dfbac2839608486aa4c1d2ed12a60c0cbeae0e56f018521ab |
| prereg/disclosures/20260928_162719_breach_probability_family_addendum_1_confident_calls.json Breach-probability family addendum 1: confident calls count (a near-certain forecast that is wrong is now tested) | breach-probability-family | addendum / disclosure | 2026-09-28T16:27:19Z | 2026-09-28 16:37Z ledger 107296447 9 min after issue | sha256:3680f6513dbdd712ea738f49a6cdc762ae2e77087ba196d54ae375c85449a740 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260928_172146_standing_acceptance_standard_base_v2_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - Base v2 (probability-of-breach family) v1 | base-v2 | acceptance standard | 2026-09-28T17:21:46Z | 2026-09-28 17:37Z ledger 107297370 15 min after issue | sha256:d818d2ee316e670a161dc618c8e39aa54ecc92206ad31f398d542a1a0e591da3 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260928_172146_standing_acceptance_standard_bsc_v2_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - BSC v2 (probability-of-breach family) v1 | bsc-v2 | acceptance standard | 2026-09-28T17:21:46Z | 2026-09-28 17:37Z ledger 107297370 15 min after issue | sha256:d2824bd6d672d6ce0ea7e0287394d98f259e288d57a03d5bf6c2c5d41f6e2b93 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260929_094815_standing_acceptance_standard_poolwatch_v2_addendum_2.json Poolwatch v2 standing standard - addendum 2: prices come from Poolwatch v2's own collector (every universe pool, every day) | poolwatch-v2 | acceptance standard | 2026-09-29T09:48:15Z | 2026-09-29 10:07Z ledger 107312653 18 min after issue | sha256:d7eec825d2d7bec68ffa8dd488e494a782759fac04e061e35f27e54339ebb770 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260929_112611_standing_acceptance_standard_hyperevm_v2_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - HyperEVM v2 (probability-of-breach family) v1 | hyperevm-v2 | acceptance standard | 2026-09-29T11:26:11Z | 2026-09-29 11:37Z ledger 107314043 10 min after issue | sha256:075fa7cfadf859332e430afd9291f8328519f8bfc64168c7e25167654ea21bd3 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260929_163240_op-mc_addendum_closed.json OP-MC closed: collection stopped; the genesis verdict stands; superseded by OP v2 | op-mc | addendum / disclosure | 2026-09-29T16:32:40Z | 2026-09-29 16:37Z ledger 107318674 4 min after issue | sha256:b6dc08d0bf71d2e7a5a4a67eb5d237652e3ff201c86190fdf2346d8c70672105 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260929_170601_standing_acceptance_standard_monad_v2_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - Monad v2 (probability-of-breach family) v1 | monad-v2 | acceptance standard | 2026-09-29T17:06:01Z | 2026-09-29 17:07Z ledger 107319137 1 min after issue | sha256:11398ca1093b4239acda30035109508dcd2f62a6c02b3669a571a52d7350f8bc |
| prereg/disclosures/20260929_170602_bsc-base-hyperevm_v2_collector_cadence.json BSC v2, Base v2, HyperEVM v2: collector cadence brought into line with the SEALED expected_sample_period_s (300 s) | bsc-v2,base-v2,hyperevm-v2 | addendum / disclosure | 2026-09-29T17:06:02Z | 2026-09-29 17:07Z ledger 107319137 1 min after issue | sha256:e563e9bfdb72b65f1726f510e12102f6abd64f06b800b4e50e765e0ad9b244ff |
| prereg/disclosures/20260930_160405_sol-v2_prior_schedule.json SOL v2 (bbm-v2.2.0): the BBM prior is refreshed on a fixed monthly schedule, and a table is used only after it is published | sol-v2 | addendum / disclosure | 2026-09-30T16:04:05Z | 2026-09-30 16:07Z ledger 107340487 3 min after issue | sha256:064e375fb4e24c8f50c075bd0785f49fd67400a5d1be74881740bdb2b3b76939 |
| prereg/disclosures/20260930_161914_standing_acceptance_standard_base_v4_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - Base v4 (probability-of-breach family) v1 | base-v4 | acceptance standard | 2026-09-30T16:19:14Z | 2026-09-30 16:37Z ledger 107340949 17 min after issue | sha256:f53c7f1dd6d7f5fe3e7e8b20e57fd68570cc0922f96d244ffd22b131abc72b35 |
| prereg/disclosures/20261001_060524_sol-v2_prior_2026-10-01.json SOL v2 prior table as of 2026-10-01 (scheduled refresh) | sol-v2 | addendum / disclosure | 2026-10-01T06:05:24Z | 2026-10-01 06:07Z ledger 107353477 1 min after issue | sha256:f5db99e2fc53f9919b027d9d9112c0b6be2ce7f07890e066aa04a14e6b3098e5 |
| prereg/disclosures/20261002_172236_breach_probability_family_addendum_2_drained_pools.json Breach-probability family addendum 2: a drained pool's later price is not a market price (VOID, not graded) | breach-probability-family | addendum / disclosure | 2026-10-02T17:22:36Z | 2026-10-02 17:37Z ledger 107386491 14 min after issue | sha256:4862b8edae3ab7b6023d51fca8e814ccd7077f3d09a257a040c4479ff6942fe5 |
| prereg/disclosures/20261002_175611_code_fingerprints.json Code fingerprints: the exact code that makes and grades each board's forecasts (code not published) | code | addendum / disclosure | 2026-10-02T17:56:11Z | 2026-10-02 18:07Z ledger 107386958 11 min after issue | sha256:76cdbba63cec49e9865cacbaff24fbac209aa731fa3c67327f3ae7cddafb6167 |
| prereg/disclosures/20261005_122039_code_fingerprints.json Code fingerprints: the exact code that makes and grades each board's forecasts (code not published) | code | addendum / disclosure | 2026-10-05T12:20:39Z | 2026-10-05 12:37Z ledger 107449620 16 min after issue | sha256:ea7f42c0b7ba8a7fce32a4b6d1ffc68811c5614ffceefbbc522d9b3d4484f230 |
| prereg/disclosures/20261006_112129_standing_acceptance_standard_fee_coverage_v1_sealed.json GradedLP STANDING Acceptance Standard - Fee Coverage v1 (LP-vs-HOLD challenger, FC-B1) | fee-coverage | acceptance standard | 2026-10-06T11:21:29Z | 2026-10-06 11:37Z ledger 107471019 15 min after issue | sha256:75477d37c3af12b866ecfb30308eb470c54641437c5d651140f62785ebf4718f |
| prereg/disclosures/20261006_112201_code_fingerprints.json Code fingerprints: the exact code that makes and grades each board's forecasts (code not published) | code | addendum / disclosure | 2026-10-06T11:22:01Z | 2026-10-06 11:37Z ledger 107471019 15 min after issue | sha256:03283dfc3d3644836df6272f714e174e828a940400d7aac8538276ea1a454229 |
| prereg/disclosures/20261006_143124_funding_independence_policy_v1.json GradedLP Funding and Independence Policy v1 | funding and independence (all boards and pages) | addendum / disclosure | 2026-10-06T14:31:24Z | 2026-10-06 14:37Z ledger 107473806 6 min after issue | sha256:901bd8f304c64f358e1955e70639a2dd42d502a45075c2fb96fdd4d592a85103 |
| prereg/fee-coverage/20261006_131415_fee-coverage_bsc-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | fee-coverage | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T13:14:15Z | 2026-10-06 13:37Z ledger 107472873 22 min after issue | sha256:ac44bd650c6379c90253d382c7967790cb74db9e435f1eba6d0c267b1d20d8c2 |
| prereg/fee-coverage/20261006_134417_fee-coverage_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | fee-coverage | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T13:44:17Z | 2026-10-06 14:07Z ledger 107473335 22 min after issue | sha256:a6023c40c265941ac711a6c587931dcdeeae57f7fd449b8ea4cca834682049e1 |
| prereg/fee-coverage/20261006_141407_fee-coverage_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | fee-coverage | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T14:14:07Z | 2026-10-06 14:37Z ledger 107473806 23 min after issue | sha256:96022f4de3018cabbca2936d0050e59efe79fb8d493332026f971d7fe08108eb |
| prereg/fee-coverage/20261006_142920_fee-coverage_monad-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | fee-coverage | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T14:29:20Z | 2026-10-06 14:37Z ledger 107473806 8 min after issue | sha256:356a390c1eed316ed8a0546cc690af7bae78c1d2391bafc698d24037ee2d5f8d |
| prereg/fee-coverage/20261006_144402_fee-coverage_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | fee-coverage | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T14:44:02Z | 2026-10-06 15:07Z ledger 107474268 23 min after issue | sha256:22cd42357406b7876eef8dc3ba5e817d19071589dc054751ef5ee407c2d6de10 |
| prereg/fee-coverage/20261006_152813_fee-coverage_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | fee-coverage | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T15:28:13Z | 2026-10-06 15:37Z ledger 107474731 9 min after issue | sha256:d63c5f30967db8d8ad09d8ffa4b6935c6b52da5beb3aa7bf7af844f22c97cd29 |
| prereg/hyperevm-v2/20260929_141132_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | hyperevm-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-29T14:11:32Z | 2026-09-29 14:37Z ledger 107316819 25 min after issue | sha256:fbe32cba628be5b99442bfbac10ba5f67d5083549ad3340eb11e5a7c51dcfe5e |
| prereg/hyperevm-v2/20260930_141004_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | hyperevm-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-30T14:10:04Z | 2026-09-30 14:37Z ledger 107339095 27 min after issue | sha256:4627fe4f8c0e1c35e01db90a06f33e220569373dc40a53a341e7956b05dbce2e |
| prereg/hyperevm-v2/20261001_141004_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | hyperevm-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-01T14:10:04Z | 2026-10-01 14:37Z ledger 107361465 27 min after issue | sha256:7643f9b179fba42a881df845f7336d71ab7f29eb03b718e342599a6468f4f18d |
| prereg/hyperevm-v2/20261002_141004_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | hyperevm-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-02T14:10:04Z | 2026-10-02 14:37Z ledger 107383717 27 min after issue | sha256:415405df0fb8be2ed90b420f9d48f76889f4d35e703f4dfad01c0647498344ca |
| prereg/hyperevm-v2/20261003_141004_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | hyperevm-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-03T14:10:04Z | 2026-10-03 14:37Z ledger 107406161 27 min after issue | sha256:d0e01884bb6fc9c85296ea82f7679f5e870976958ba9f5c1fc41bd591b258238 |
| prereg/hyperevm-v2/20261004_141004_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | hyperevm-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-04T14:10:04Z | 2026-10-04 14:37Z ledger 107428886 27 min after issue | sha256:34af6ef1077cd7c5f8467f93cb2d48cd87afc068e520700743fbe72b5201fb59 |
| prereg/hyperevm-v2/20261005_141004_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | hyperevm-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-05T14:10:04Z | 2026-10-05 14:37Z ledger 107451487 27 min after issue | sha256:64dee027330c56293b29ed586420efba5fdc177942f5e68e967a9d3f514aa5f9 |
| prereg/hyperevm-v2/20261006_141004_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | hyperevm-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T14:10:04Z | 2026-10-06 14:37Z ledger 107473806 27 min after issue | sha256:ccaa33d6cc442474af04b07ee5d29c103b502950b6a5b13742529e077540125a |
| prereg/market-weather/20260921_135723_market-weather_market_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-21T13:57:23Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:22948ee2d2b6d54d082e8f7eb35faf055c98037e2bc150ad76dc0288dac90d49 |
| prereg/market-weather/20260921_135741_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-21T13:57:41Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:4ba43cc9a6dbbda636b1050bf98a6b423e7903c46c9f838779c8b60cde9f61a0 |
| prereg/market-weather/20260922_152009_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-22T15:20:09Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:b833e0aa57fc520de5a36fa5ab14265e3a035a39dcfc0672ab127d392cb4b342 |
| prereg/market-weather/20260922_235015_market-weather_market_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-22T23:50:15Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:26c80fb39f06d16c124f061a63a1a776aca0dd6b920ed786a85af493be13eb5a |
| prereg/market-weather/20260923_152009_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-23T15:20:09Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:515b5475c65f756e87c883cb91d3dc368811ead31ebafda92b6f43ac0c6c0502 |
| prereg/market-weather/20260924_152009_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-24T15:20:09Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:2521fdc84ac859f8a2117647cac0c20fce15876eb750e24d5cc16a5e327b6fb0 |
| prereg/market-weather/20260924_235020_market-weather_market_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-24T23:50:20Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:5be4566411f9b33089875739cadfd9fafdf442e21b5a53712414c9722c65a6ef |
| prereg/market-weather/20260925_152009_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-25T15:20:09Z | 2026-09-25 15:37Z ledger 107228950 17 min after issue | sha256:4421c3316e490cef2b4d7a702559b3368fd06c59decd356f53d5ba85c0499176 |
| prereg/market-weather/20260925_235020_market-weather_market_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-25T23:50:20Z | 2026-09-26 00:07Z ledger 107236831 17 min after issue | sha256:acc024de4c0d6c4a846202c4bc4e61ad9175bfebb61f6fb5713c2b27bbca8fba |
| prereg/market-weather/20260926_152008_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-26T15:20:08Z | 2026-09-26 15:37Z ledger 107251203 17 min after issue | sha256:de952738cae560efca383a604a9ebc024c345328bb6a32c22708b88eb9f7afc7 |
| prereg/market-weather/20260926_235020_market-weather_market_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-26T23:50:20Z | 2026-09-27 00:07Z ledger 107259018 17 min after issue | sha256:d32939b403477e937691b8e6dfe89105fd6e9048d16087ac3c42d2c8e44ee156 |
| prereg/market-weather/20260927_152008_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-27T15:20:08Z | 2026-09-27 15:37Z ledger 107273310 17 min after issue | sha256:61315c4b05eb25643c7843fcf231ad4a7a7a0b566a75f5899f051f805765f5cd |
| prereg/market-weather/20260927_235020_market-weather_market_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-27T23:50:20Z | 2026-09-28 00:07Z ledger 107281170 16 min after issue | sha256:2c3da5b1ba0d2193f6aafbe34392f59e67536e139a97d6e496c95a9da4ecd79b |
| prereg/market-weather/20260928_152008_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-28T15:20:08Z | 2026-09-28 15:37Z ledger 107295525 17 min after issue | sha256:068547a6a49c3bb2dc5602de17b0dfd43f641126cdbc371c5162dc3d8d4b2944 |
| prereg/market-weather/20260928_235020_market-weather_market_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-28T23:50:20Z | 2026-09-29 00:07Z ledger 107303389 16 min after issue | sha256:7a61e5b983ef0a594901892ad1a9b695462d427043691fcf7b65467e7d62908f |
| prereg/market-weather/20260929_152009_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-29T15:20:09Z | 2026-09-29 15:37Z ledger 107317746 17 min after issue | sha256:2aef692a7203ee166702068292a4fb4cd91c11ef42cbb936c29dedcead364f4e |
| prereg/market-weather/20260929_235020_market-weather_market_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-29T23:50:20Z | 2026-09-30 00:07Z ledger 107325626 17 min after issue | sha256:fdd36947c5ef032bfb8d9fd806eae02ab97a8ff13432bc3a811fd7b504eab605 |
| prereg/market-weather/20260930_152008_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-30T15:20:08Z | 2026-09-30 15:37Z ledger 107340022 17 min after issue | sha256:bbdfb57507546ba9be930145f2544ef931995dd4c2fc84313d69e7828319f9e9 |
| prereg/market-weather/20260930_235019_market-weather_market_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-09-30T23:50:19Z | 2026-10-01 00:07Z ledger 107347912 17 min after issue | sha256:7026d94c8b68792e0afebda6838e688d179ed843ad089a1a576eb6492e0dfcb9 |
| prereg/market-weather/20261001_152008_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-10-01T15:20:08Z | 2026-10-01 15:37Z ledger 107362393 17 min after issue | sha256:2fe9c5122146c690da768fa0f535a65209006f4edf591f41e88fe35ab4cd6a8c |
| prereg/market-weather/20261001_235020_market-weather_market_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-10-01T23:50:20Z | 2026-10-02 00:07Z ledger 107370264 17 min after issue | sha256:ce2865dea49a8fb0ab4c74b04d94af0b163177988f018acd453f6e9ab8a5a4f3 |
| prereg/market-weather/20261002_152008_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-10-02T15:20:08Z | 2026-10-02 15:37Z ledger 107384642 17 min after issue | sha256:56ba3ac120cbf366867c77d0d17b9f80f39991b66e5dc99c13e921c6551574d5 |
| prereg/market-weather/20261002_235020_market-weather_market_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-10-02T23:50:20Z | 2026-10-03 00:07Z ledger 107392525 17 min after issue | sha256:3aa67f3cfcd6aef4a2f24d324308f7880415ca9682af134e1f585af41b5ae4a1 |
| prereg/market-weather/20261003_152008_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-10-03T15:20:08Z | 2026-10-03 15:37Z ledger 107407102 17 min after issue | sha256:5cec4b027589ed57a593391821e5c25e051cd40226b4040e4716eda9a441f8ed |
| prereg/market-weather/20261003_235020_market-weather_market_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-10-03T23:50:20Z | 2026-10-04 00:07Z ledger 107415112 16 min after issue | sha256:558a521e4fb4e764468ac3a66bb926d81f44362e6d62f3ac9a6c3dd6edcfbe45 |
| prereg/market-weather/20261004_152008_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-10-04T15:20:08Z | 2026-10-04 15:37Z ledger 107429826 17 min after issue | sha256:209337f1d3709a0b9c19424b368b1b0b0ebb67e296db5ef863d9eb3e36644a13 |
| prereg/market-weather/20261004_235020_market-weather_market_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-10-04T23:50:20Z | 2026-10-05 00:07Z ledger 107437817 17 min after issue | sha256:645d8ac693b1f82ef1f1ecf6318e01458380d4a04b7be1ed8ead43d1cf6a9acd |
| prereg/market-weather/20261005_152009_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-10-05T15:20:09Z | 2026-10-05 15:37Z ledger 107452418 17 min after issue | sha256:1f26c236675a6da2086e3dc7b8d4201b241be1dc069d81f6e0249c9dd56fa8e3 |
| prereg/market-weather/20261005_235016_market-weather_market_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-10-05T23:50:16Z | 2026-10-06 00:07Z ledger 107460316 16 min after issue | sha256:83d3835535ef54650bd6ca8d02743b1fd9711be1808e80ca1b13a3b5afb7e1c0 |
| prereg/market-weather/20261006_152008_market-weather_pools_preregistered_at_prediction.json | market-weather | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T15:20:08Z | 2026-10-06 15:37Z ledger 107474731 17 min after issue | sha256:6f60c69afebca13212ecf19eab04af3f480de0d15dcc99eca9c940fcf54c544b |
| prereg/market-weather/outcomes/20261006_004030_market-weather_outcomes.json prereg_outcomes | market-weather | outcomes | 2026-10-06T00:40:30Z | 2026-10-06 01:07Z ledger 107461251 26 min after issue | sha256:d1e01f6c39d5760c53147c170107840893cceee77367cebc32f330dc0919ef30 |
| prereg/monad-v2/20260930_142631_monad-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | monad-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-30T14:26:31Z | 2026-09-30 14:37Z ledger 107339095 10 min after issue | sha256:d6c81af150bcde52377ca43174f8032c11c4eccd97f8028fe73bda9dd3a2a759 |
| prereg/monad-v2/20261001_142504_monad-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | monad-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-01T14:25:04Z | 2026-10-01 14:37Z ledger 107361465 12 min after issue | sha256:17f7e2a75aca1aa608da9a31c7deaa493db5850a82492a099d5f25a000d0a06e |
| prereg/monad-v2/20261002_142504_monad-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | monad-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-02T14:25:04Z | 2026-10-02 14:37Z ledger 107383717 12 min after issue | sha256:890c10ecab381502736ff5c8c6a004a4822c7f5782666e86c58e3a0088f5e5c1 |
| prereg/monad-v2/20261003_142504_monad-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | monad-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-03T14:25:04Z | 2026-10-03 14:37Z ledger 107406161 12 min after issue | sha256:a36583d0fa970d3faf5bce67e6c0b10da7e491dffe63a2f578d000c848617b1e |
| prereg/monad-v2/20261004_142504_monad-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | monad-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-04T14:25:04Z | 2026-10-04 14:37Z ledger 107428886 12 min after issue | sha256:a446d8db9f34bde6beb9953a1998ca48ac0973cb73b886421ca0c0932e643f93 |
| prereg/monad-v2/20261005_142504_monad-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | monad-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-05T14:25:04Z | 2026-10-05 14:37Z ledger 107451487 12 min after issue | sha256:26b0663bf04c1b067c245730288698cdaabfe899b4a804f7906edf0a0e5fc21d |
| prereg/monad-v2/20261006_142504_monad-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | monad-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T14:25:04Z | 2026-10-06 14:37Z ledger 107473806 12 min after issue | sha256:5430ff7bb19be4668a5346e631f3a1679b6499ae720e95f38f394cc6aec1c028 |
| prereg/op-mc/20260910_114213_op-mc_verdict_20260908.json OP-MC genesis verdict (cohort 2026-08-25 -> 2026-09-08): NO_EDGE_DETECTED | OP-MC v1 genesis cohort: TOP 10 / CONTROL 10 / RESERVES 9 (29-pool universe) | verdict | 2026-09-10T11:42:13Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:cf7ef246034d60cd5b1ecb451d37e28fed9383e9652bb202f17766cc1532e86b |
| prereg/op-v2/20260922_152504_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | op-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-22T15:25:04Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:740e3dfc3f3f066a24857f334bcb3301756d079adc24a821193621f0c37a933e |
| prereg/op-v2/20260923_152505_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | op-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-23T15:25:05Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:8ec54c0c2618222dffbbf3c991553ac073412dc75d89a7b504554b5c8be00572 |
| prereg/op-v2/20260924_152505_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | op-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-24T15:25:05Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:9d9aea87cb504c169ce030f3c82d513427d1675b9aaaa68a5b5a06e0ba3c23c4 |
| prereg/op-v2/20260925_152506_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | op-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-25T15:25:06Z | 2026-09-25 15:37Z ledger 107228950 12 min after issue | sha256:15904da505c87e88ab38dffdabc2ca5d6713472e761eba2bb7941bb46eba3511 |
| prereg/op-v2/20260926_152505_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | op-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-26T15:25:05Z | 2026-09-26 15:37Z ledger 107251203 12 min after issue | sha256:748f52e33ecc28a51faedda45bd9061b5894c39d96462b2587daa7e8ffa0fb37 |
| prereg/op-v2/20260927_152506_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | op-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-27T15:25:06Z | 2026-09-27 15:37Z ledger 107273310 12 min after issue | sha256:820eb5146c4f70659fcbacf6a97967c68ddd26223d2ee386a6944a33e5dcde7b |
| prereg/op-v2/20260928_152506_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | op-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-28T15:25:06Z | 2026-09-28 15:37Z ledger 107295525 12 min after issue | sha256:18006fb2a6befc00ade19475e180fb20c6186ba02ea0b8fad437668001137e92 |
| prereg/op-v2/20260929_152506_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | op-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-29T15:25:06Z | 2026-09-29 15:37Z ledger 107317746 12 min after issue | sha256:fb1a4f8c5686cb129372c9b88b4c20f7bc77ee4977b59c5a11e7e5196b8879e2 |
| prereg/op-v2/20260930_152505_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | op-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-30T15:25:05Z | 2026-09-30 15:37Z ledger 107340022 12 min after issue | sha256:d8b4cb43807b333019933713b5891f4ffa8c0eee21259675a0b7a5fe21be7584 |
| prereg/op-v2/20261001_152506_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | op-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-01T15:25:06Z | 2026-10-01 15:37Z ledger 107362393 12 min after issue | sha256:9c4bc312da12ed5878230550ecff5eb98f9e30a7a98015eded3b1e64bf038cc3 |
| prereg/op-v2/20261002_152506_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | op-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-02T15:25:06Z | 2026-10-02 15:37Z ledger 107384642 12 min after issue | sha256:aaf4a2668b4b0da2a8420c9bf3cbde7c951ac113c8abe853173885560cbc1b03 |
| prereg/op-v2/20261003_152505_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | op-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-03T15:25:05Z | 2026-10-03 15:37Z ledger 107407102 12 min after issue | sha256:a3a26e0db75f04b97814d4f7a2f300825b44bad338857f2a9563e0b485788e92 |
| prereg/op-v2/20261004_152506_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | op-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-04T15:25:06Z | 2026-10-04 15:37Z ledger 107429826 12 min after issue | sha256:43934e3e450ab1a3cd797470a918e3a2236b1cfbf22979e11a8c614381f3e35f |
| prereg/op-v2/20261005_152506_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | op-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-05T15:25:06Z | 2026-10-05 15:37Z ledger 107452418 12 min after issue | sha256:66bb5562acea763c8b9b943a2b1259745543cca0c0c79b723f6056f432b948e8 |
| prereg/op-v2/20261006_152505_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | op-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T15:25:05Z | 2026-10-06 15:37Z ledger 107474731 12 min after issue | sha256:3931f26eda65a03c62db6cffe13c6dd0cae0d5b1b6aa639a2ed9216ad25f740a |
| prereg/poolwatch-v2/20260925_083002_poolwatch-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | poolwatch-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-25T08:30:02Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:a4e003fb2e4f9101ac95eb167d1f045c7343ecab771dd10e8363f686c7d439b6 |
| prereg/poolwatch-v2/20260926_093003_poolwatch-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | poolwatch-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-26T09:30:03Z | 2026-09-26 09:37Z ledger 107245635 6 min after issue | sha256:79da1636d2660566ebc47c4311579454e00181fca0f0a3717fd977e4832a1fe9 |
| prereg/poolwatch-v2/20260927_093003_poolwatch-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | poolwatch-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-27T09:30:03Z | 2026-09-27 09:37Z ledger 107267764 7 min after issue | sha256:388667d4780d06e706111613d2aefec91f0f4c236dd76d9c62ff22be8e2f267b |
| prereg/poolwatch-v2/20260928_093003_poolwatch-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | poolwatch-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-28T09:30:03Z | 2026-09-28 09:37Z ledger 107289966 7 min after issue | sha256:1f5471b6949c8193ada9a6f2df49b56dd6bebe52d9c50717bdd207db6df927ab |
| prereg/poolwatch-v2/20260929_093003_poolwatch-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | poolwatch-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-29T09:30:03Z | 2026-09-29 09:37Z ledger 107312188 7 min after issue | sha256:998e30f050885683109162e98291e7a1f2ecce08efd785a593a566e7ebdac596 |
| prereg/poolwatch-v2/20260930_093004_poolwatch-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | poolwatch-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-30T09:30:04Z | 2026-09-30 09:37Z ledger 107334466 7 min after issue | sha256:285ad247f169680c475b8b0a0328d21791ba8c09d4cac57048bd6422f3386c5d |
| prereg/poolwatch-v2/20261001_093003_poolwatch-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | poolwatch-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-01T09:30:03Z | 2026-10-01 09:37Z ledger 107356764 7 min after issue | sha256:0b32a0b37b9622b825d3aae6c4c641acd513c86d8778b9cec0114903b7a5b9f2 |
| prereg/poolwatch-v2/20261002_093004_poolwatch-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | poolwatch-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-02T09:30:04Z | 2026-10-02 09:37Z ledger 107379080 7 min after issue | sha256:fb5d8ee78a7145439fbe7e6a30a8ad9e7ef1e447f9b6fc2aa1ef7b3a32697b7d |
| prereg/poolwatch-v2/20261003_093004_poolwatch-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | poolwatch-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-03T09:30:04Z | 2026-10-03 09:37Z ledger 107401464 7 min after issue | sha256:1030110d04b08e30406b5d5959e0333e3cee1d2f004f368937046a0bd9cad224 |
| prereg/poolwatch-v2/20261004_093004_poolwatch-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | poolwatch-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-04T09:30:04Z | 2026-10-04 09:37Z ledger 107424146 7 min after issue | sha256:9240babdd24550d5c6a0a66fb38086342130d57a775cbf6ebdd99a62ad82331d |
| prereg/poolwatch-v2/20261005_093004_poolwatch-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | poolwatch-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-05T09:30:04Z | 2026-10-05 09:37Z ledger 107446813 7 min after issue | sha256:23549fb2bc0af462fd1b987039d8ef7536ef56695737c647bba870ffece0fab7 |
| prereg/poolwatch-v2/20261006_093004_poolwatch-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | poolwatch-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T09:30:04Z | 2026-10-06 09:37Z ledger 107469162 7 min after issue | sha256:599c344776d47d2944f1bcc6ac9757d9196ef3b95555f727656897fd122da03a |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260914_175346_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-14T17:53:46.052404+00:00 | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:c8fc44b94ae308563b157698765f8b9443b7ef2173b8232fb75d43e0a61ef925 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260915_153001_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-15T15:30:01.338379+00:00 | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:a8bdc029fd8c8b8e1632d968591f1a8cf4f923e1e012d3c06c24a09e009efbee |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260916_153001_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-16T15:30:01.176357+00:00 | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:2d3f267c4a9900e73814279dede6e696ae4beda071da63dcb5c72a7dbe5a8fb1 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260917_153001_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-17T15:30:01.180347+00:00 | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:9daaff5644f522aa3ccb053e5dbc1c215037814ea4b312a4f11eb1f98b49e383 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260918_153001_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-18T15:30:01.531770+00:00 | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:f76fd30e52b1f02944e7ee4e4f7cdcfe373e6e0c4dcef35c29091d805b34157d |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260919_153001_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-19T15:30:01.248425+00:00 | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:cacf0a7d105e9b490f2f728bc759b757bc5d245dfbcff2859e22f03d619914fb |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260920_153001_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-20T15:30:01.494844+00:00 | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:f6077828c20fed8353037af4d8b55bedca2a47eca01bb6758865017ba0925482 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260921_153001_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-21T15:30:01.461771+00:00 | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:672c8a2919012a735f0ad74aa6a6cd5e7b9fa7bffb62c990fbe3a8e72bf55d3b |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260922_153001_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-22T15:30:01.755993+00:00 | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:a74036f4f54e43aebb8296333fc6fd8ae85559dc022b938969fb0eb81a153b33 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260923_153001_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-23T15:30:01.434107+00:00 | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:dab10b08985915c896f4f232cb0e43c55bd65219da32444f9ab96caa21e13422 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260924_153002_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-24T15:30:02.052152+00:00 | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:f7420827f1793c3e4a39a5f23af36d02d96e8c9bb322cd721f0fd188636628fb |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260925_153001_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-25T15:30:01.746103+00:00 | 2026-09-25 15:37Z ledger 107228950 7 min after issue | sha256:4041a7e5dfac07fc82a3b250709d8627bcd5be4b3be3259111fe9394212f3686 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260926_153001_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-26T15:30:01.724700+00:00 | 2026-09-26 15:37Z ledger 107251203 7 min after issue | sha256:be267151f8d8cc77db71b3741dcbb169a95c5281d0cda74b7ef76a97b3200b15 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260927_153001_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-27T15:30:01.657875+00:00 | 2026-09-27 15:37Z ledger 107273310 7 min after issue | sha256:66f14cf1deb6e97c430caf0ff40a7d85d90fa861c84c3ae7432c6fa0f6864413 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260928_153001_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-28T15:30:01.672694+00:00 | 2026-09-28 15:37Z ledger 107295525 7 min after issue | sha256:36801fbfeb3c6dc23006861fcfe790107e644212c2ac298b57330b15f8c35fc4 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260928_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260914.json prereg_tier_forecast_verdict | sol-v2 | verdict | 2026-09-28T19:40:01Z | 2026-09-28 20:07Z ledger 107299678 27 min after issue | sha256:1fbd4d0d45b643cc1d95263b1a94a35bf90d4a4ca7860ba1b94c325186fa5a7e |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260929_153002_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-29T15:30:02.039050+00:00 | 2026-09-29 15:37Z ledger 107317746 7 min after issue | sha256:73bd8d42433b53961e5d68bc415c7e23bbafb0a8a973b23874138ce9c0f17763 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260929_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260915.json prereg_tier_forecast_verdict | sol-v2 | verdict | 2026-09-29T19:40:01Z | 2026-09-29 20:07Z ledger 107321914 27 min after issue | sha256:f3aac79c87846a85a4f430692f4314dda72480b40f5375c3b33b180ff968f84b |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260930_153002_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-30T15:30:02.097336+00:00 | 2026-09-30 15:37Z ledger 107340022 7 min after issue | sha256:9df53f1b62b19ea397725d273f8d7ae8aa973b734cf66a3e322824ab33a16e2f |
| prereg/sol-v2/20260930_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260916.json prereg_tier_forecast_verdict | sol-v2 | verdict | 2026-09-30T19:40:01Z | 2026-09-30 20:07Z ledger 107344195 27 min after issue | sha256:e69a233410bcdfb87cc5694fff3d97f5ee20ebc57272e275916ddac9f851e26e |
| prereg/sol-v2/20261001_153002_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-01T15:30:02.995727+00:00 | 2026-10-01 15:37Z ledger 107362393 7 min after issue | sha256:0eab39efbde13f29243188c2f62686006ef042a6f63e2da20843df4c7a9c815c |
| prereg/sol-v2/20261001_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260917.json prereg_tier_forecast_verdict | sol-v2 | verdict | 2026-10-01T19:40:01Z | 2026-10-01 20:07Z ledger 107366557 27 min after issue | sha256:7ea8c79ffe22ced70f920db94d1205174c7959bf04267abdbfd1c82273f4d416 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20261002_153002_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-02T15:30:02.877746+00:00 | 2026-10-02 15:37Z ledger 107384642 7 min after issue | sha256:cab3f7111e64cbfc435101eb8653a14f5bfd2cf6b38d72077046ead4c0f257eb |
| prereg/sol-v2/20261002_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260918.json prereg_tier_forecast_verdict | sol-v2 | verdict | 2026-10-02T19:40:01Z | 2026-10-02 20:07Z ledger 107388810 27 min after issue | sha256:fc3b14c6c2f0790d0246942d0d520646131221a74058407afe6e011d76f590b3 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20261003_153002_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-03T15:30:02.708551+00:00 | 2026-10-03 15:37Z ledger 107407102 7 min after issue | sha256:b011442002967e4a043b0b37d4faacc9521f887d8cc7304c87c035c1baed9df8 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20261003_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260919.json prereg_tier_forecast_verdict | sol-v2 | verdict | 2026-10-03T19:40:01Z | 2026-10-03 20:07Z ledger 107411333 27 min after issue | sha256:0b95d34865146041c31480d41ebb81242f823fa9c335009d762ca04d4f6add2a |
| prereg/sol-v2/20261004_153002_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-04T15:30:02.953350+00:00 | 2026-10-04 15:37Z ledger 107429826 7 min after issue | sha256:54b2039d8f7dc381d0b718b02508e7cdfea186bcd418cc58144a7b05ef95defe |
| prereg/sol-v2/20261004_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260920.json prereg_tier_forecast_verdict | sol-v2 | verdict | 2026-10-04T19:40:01Z | 2026-10-04 20:07Z ledger 107434058 27 min after issue | sha256:e077c101e1be9b244612df98e4c4f62d840467d0704d030e8f7e059d4726d8b7 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20261005_153002_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-05T15:30:02.830138+00:00 | 2026-10-05 15:37Z ledger 107452418 7 min after issue | sha256:a791d3a91792058f15078401ad9595c26456a55c3d964c17931a1f1620d6bf01 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20261005_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260921.json prereg_tier_forecast_verdict | sol-v2 | verdict | 2026-10-05T19:40:01Z | 2026-10-05 20:07Z ledger 107456599 27 min after issue | sha256:6ff24dcfc2d829eff60fcb3eefa096d2c267ee64a92915a1dfca03cfcd36ead8 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20261006_153002_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sol-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T15:30:02.769993+00:00 | 2026-10-06 15:37Z ledger 107474731 7 min after issue | sha256:f434fe61f1850161e53f0594461cc42736de383765e7d02abe3385bf1e36fd37 |
| prereg/sol-v2/20261006_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260922.json prereg_tier_forecast_verdict | sol-v2 | verdict | 2026-10-06T19:40:01Z | 2026-10-06 20:07Z ledger 107478903 27 min after issue | sha256:4099895cce4126e689fe7c88f7763d1510cfdb7cc553fbed2cc7c63e63732b18 |
| prereg/solana/20260803_112507_solana_addendum_20260730.json SOLANA PRE-REGISTRATION ADDENDUM — SOL 2026-07-30 launch batch | solana | addendum / disclosure | 2026-08-03T11:25:07Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:af02f6466ac0860e2b250658d7799e54e30f021f20a3307d89ae48e79448b6a4 |
| prereg/solana/20260817_140500_sol_verdict_20260813.json SOL VERDICT - the 2026-08-13 canonical batch is UNTESTED (E = 0.2886, zero realized traps, interval coverage reported) | solana | verdict | 2026-08-17T14:05:00Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:ea032462d5186a1116be1668aa58db4b253530d9f0ceae9a84afd43fa1c60287 |
| prereg/solana/20260924_183815_solana_verdict_20260910.json SOL v1 cohort 20260910 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard, as pre-committed in the SOL v1 retirement disclosure | solana | verdict | 2026-09-24T18:38:15Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:10e2ff86f40f6ee8c6d1f8d953d73018b729b9f9b783ce572ed7bb2c477f8d32 |
| prereg/solana/20260925_182501_solana_verdict_20260911.json SOL v1 cohort 20260911 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard, as pre-committed in the SOL v1 retirement disclosure | solana | verdict | 2026-09-25T18:25:01Z | 2026-09-25 18:37Z ledger 107231727 12 min after issue | sha256:392f66425cd2b100a70113ad47b118c8d28a9c7f8f604bd0f0f15fe1af62e564 |
| prereg/solana/20260926_182502_solana_verdict_20260912.json SOL v1 cohort 20260912 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard, as pre-committed in the SOL v1 retirement disclosure | solana | verdict | 2026-09-26T18:25:02Z | 2026-09-26 18:37Z ledger 107253957 12 min after issue | sha256:882437c1de67a631592e6b1b4de27c717fe5f802423eadebfcfe61b8301d698f |
| prereg/solana/20260927_182501_solana_verdict_20260913.json SOL v1 cohort 20260913 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard, as pre-committed in the SOL v1 retirement disclosure | solana | verdict | 2026-09-27T18:25:01Z | 2026-09-27 18:37Z ledger 107276080 12 min after issue | sha256:b32a6fb5540c126af6e7fa851e8abbf02f2a840a35a61d1435d099e21bfd905a |
| prereg/solana/20260928_182502_solana_verdict_20260914.json SOL v1 cohort 20260914 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard, as pre-committed in the SOL v1 retirement disclosure | solana | verdict | 2026-09-28T18:25:02Z | 2026-09-28 18:37Z ledger 107298294 12 min after issue | sha256:f704a659b67772ed3972d84d57d669fe52625727273fd7c492a0bc1208591696 |
| prereg/solana/20260929_182502_solana_verdict_20260915.json SOL v1 cohort 20260915 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard, as pre-committed in the SOL v1 retirement disclosure | solana | verdict | 2026-09-29T18:25:02Z | 2026-09-29 18:37Z ledger 107320524 12 min after issue | sha256:f2f222b220e183fe9cc09bc46d3d8854940985ae646c16a70e2aa66c918f611b |
| prereg/solana/20260930_182502_solana_verdict_20260916.json SOL v1 cohort 20260916 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard, as pre-committed in the SOL v1 retirement disclosure | solana | verdict | 2026-09-30T18:25:02Z | 2026-09-30 18:37Z ledger 107342802 12 min after issue | sha256:f097fa7974852d68cd3d5e5ca7a2977b19dcbd17d1fd15adaab52d7c51517cf3 |
| prereg/solana/20261001_182501_solana_verdict_20260917.json SOL v1 cohort 20260917 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard, as pre-committed in the SOL v1 retirement disclosure | solana | verdict | 2026-10-01T18:25:01Z | 2026-10-01 18:37Z ledger 107365169 12 min after issue | sha256:d2bac979be01f933d43aacf3d920de4659b96eabaeeaef8bf1c1335afea2a47d |
| prereg/solana/20261002_182501_solana_verdict_20260918.json SOL v1 cohort 20260918 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard, as pre-committed in the SOL v1 retirement disclosure | solana | verdict | 2026-10-02T18:25:01Z | 2026-10-02 18:37Z ledger 107387419 12 min after issue | sha256:1cfdf82298a90828946adac6b35b07b28fa14ac5bdd7c2d176f5b1293ba0a9d6 |
| prereg/solana/20261003_182502_solana_verdict_20260919.json SOL v1 cohort 20260919 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard, as pre-committed in the SOL v1 retirement disclosure | solana | verdict | 2026-10-03T18:25:02Z | 2026-10-03 18:37Z ledger 107409915 12 min after issue | sha256:672b332a7cfe115e42c908905651af66f1546cb09a9c45ecdad7da500aa30b85 |
| prereg/solana/20261004_182502_solana_verdict_20260920.json SOL v1 cohort 20260920 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard, as pre-committed in the SOL v1 retirement disclosure | solana | verdict | 2026-10-04T18:25:02Z | 2026-10-04 18:37Z ledger 107432652 12 min after issue | sha256:9b516e481123a7907441f7d47d167055f160fd246556b6152c226ed7d2009202 |
| prereg/solana/20261005_182502_solana_verdict_20260921.json SOL v1 cohort 20260921 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard, as pre-committed in the SOL v1 retirement disclosure | solana | verdict | 2026-10-05T18:25:02Z | 2026-10-05 18:37Z ledger 107455216 12 min after issue | sha256:a37baecb1ae48a12b9b198458d6bbdf181a55ac43fed47bb9da24a70bba48693 |
| prereg/sui-v2/20260925_120201_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sui-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-25T12:02:01Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:9936c43e44c5a1503cb2a2f01c802fdbb0ba6cbff16741efbe2acfb8d53d0707 |
| prereg/sui-v2/20260926_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sui-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-26T12:00:06Z | 2026-09-26 12:07Z ledger 107247967 7 min after issue | sha256:171a99af9e331d498802fd296e39b706455775c80b012713d46de7956291bda8 |
| prereg/sui-v2/20260927_120005_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sui-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-27T12:00:05Z | 2026-09-27 12:07Z ledger 107270081 7 min after issue | sha256:48d10f95444925fa17f2f3798beb29257cd94fcf07a1fe28a0d11777e43c972d |
| prereg/sui-v2/20260928_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sui-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-28T12:00:06Z | 2026-09-28 12:07Z ledger 107292289 7 min after issue | sha256:0d4a270860ad764c65df447d173e08e261a0b551eea7aaf92ada036b57e772d9 |
| prereg/sui-v2/20260929_120005_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sui-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-29T12:00:05Z | 2026-09-29 12:07Z ledger 107314506 7 min after issue | sha256:bee993867cb236d4fc464eea9521dc1116e57d7af2076813f882a7f89c38957f |
| prereg/sui-v2/20260930_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sui-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-30T12:00:06Z | 2026-09-30 12:07Z ledger 107336780 7 min after issue | sha256:835bc6308c7bb9f0eadfcdab8cacdc24fe3d0caa4ba672734f862fff0b970127 |
| prereg/sui-v2/20261001_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sui-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-01T12:00:06Z | 2026-10-01 12:07Z ledger 107359126 7 min after issue | sha256:f2777e7600d3e05a466b37eb01737274b13fce1e1f588f42700c12a54881db5e |
| prereg/sui-v2/20261002_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sui-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-02T12:00:06Z | 2026-10-02 12:07Z ledger 107381400 7 min after issue | sha256:2752ded2e3efbeb4cf26eca0e108ada75ebf245d4f69fb81bde41670b374e3bd |
| prereg/sui-v2/20261003_120005_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sui-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-03T12:00:05Z | 2026-10-03 12:07Z ledger 107403817 7 min after issue | sha256:55fab4b291e28525a4e719e71c44e7a00bb120ff81dd9fb190cc471ccffdfa8c |
| prereg/sui-v2/20261004_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sui-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-04T12:00:06Z | 2026-10-04 12:07Z ledger 107426531 7 min after issue | sha256:091e7592e59e512f7559702793d19f9486bfaddd24d9837de3567c45bdb4d2fd |
| prereg/sui-v2/20261005_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sui-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-05T12:00:06Z | 2026-10-05 12:07Z ledger 107449151 6 min after issue | sha256:1af9de779adbfcd8c983c5ff2ae19a2b524dbedd6a98be1a83a5fb788824229d |
| prereg/sui-v2/20261006_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | sui-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T12:00:06Z | 2026-10-06 12:07Z ledger 107471480 7 min after issue | sha256:30cc91ff325fb2fd5373651c36694fa9afac7719b62cdfb49bf872101917964f |
| prereg/sui/20260814_120000_sui_addendum_20260813.json SUI PRE-REGISTRATION ADDENDUM - the 2026-08-13 duplicate freeze batch and the canonical-batch rule | sui | addendum / disclosure | 2026-08-14T12:00:00Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:24f3435b0ecd5d82f46939aaa42fa3b3579bfa403cb7c5ee19f605cfaea3652a |
| prereg/sui/20260831_112016_sui_verdict_20260827.json SUI VERDICT - the 2026-08-27 canonical batch-B cohort resolves EVIDENCE OF SKILL (realized traps = 4 of 22, all four v3 conditions satisfied) | sui | verdict | 2026-08-31T11:20:16Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:891fe2c78d7ec7b83494897f8f5655c97b19b27d27b5fd5dea05be75a3654a79 |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260826_111905_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260825.json XRPL-MC GENESIS COHORT VERDICT - founding cohort resolved against the pre-committed acceptance standard | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-08-26T11:19:05Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:674bb98a31d6a73e858859e14b4223ad27d44a3c9f0d2bbfe0c1341c31548479 |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260812.json XRPL-MC cohort 20260812 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard (mc-forecast family) | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-09-10T16:22:45Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:3888d877f028d759b2dc6ccfef7de1c3d1c0b85b0c3350e4a43d5842f8f5c7d2 |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260813.json XRPL-MC cohort 20260813 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard (mc-forecast family) | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-09-10T16:22:45Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:a468d5b477dcf1402b7d1607ff84f4221e3d39b1acce0612d5134f8d1eeb85ed |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260814.json XRPL-MC cohort 20260814 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard (mc-forecast family) | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-09-10T16:22:45Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:36b78cc092b8456172e58c4da0b2700cf178abc8d8c5e7d4c8a36164b024ff5a |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260815.json XRPL-MC cohort 20260815 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard (mc-forecast family) | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-09-10T16:22:45Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:c409dffc8a5dd1f93fa17c0c273d809c19f00be4ef819301d6fac76ee76f0ed6 |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260816.json XRPL-MC cohort 20260816 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard (mc-forecast family) | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-09-10T16:22:45Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:367408c16db09902cdbbd1ff518e034d99c4cc3a9806a370a6b9665c3355925e |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260817.json XRPL-MC cohort 20260817 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard (mc-forecast family) | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-09-10T16:22:45Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:fbd2f2b7e50446003c91de6896e75e8da2665eec3eae064be6ca48797463954a |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260818.json XRPL-MC cohort 20260818 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard (mc-forecast family) | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-09-10T16:22:45Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:4b1ace7d470e2ba47d79846e713af8262077570f2095670b72160a7c3c6c19be |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260819.json XRPL-MC cohort 20260819 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard (mc-forecast family) | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-09-10T16:22:45Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:e30f0904f004181c639ad60f0231514be576d9a95cd9045100504594e011da99 |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260820.json XRPL-MC cohort 20260820 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard (mc-forecast family) | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-09-10T16:22:45Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:b8ee3952dd46fbfbd62d5e745ee8c8a87c6ec4a04d842bee7704f80a86ec86b0 |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260821.json XRPL-MC cohort 20260821 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard (mc-forecast family) | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-09-10T16:22:45Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:90a856b38fea3b9730464d5174b7ab7088fba151d9ce488de8e990ce1965e33c |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260822.json XRPL-MC cohort 20260822 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard (mc-forecast family) | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-09-10T16:22:45Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:fb827fdac512b295b7bb37dbd602da2f33ee54c29ec45ba20d9dd833f126262a |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260823.json XRPL-MC cohort 20260823 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard (mc-forecast family) | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-09-10T16:22:45Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:76ecbc8f8b3ae2313f8e2eba90fcc01da7b6ac71952755383143eec85066a920 |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260824.json XRPL-MC cohort 20260824 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard (mc-forecast family) | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-09-10T16:22:45Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:609ae85b6bbc9a5b200bfe86ad7c380625ffdd96e54ce4f2799138aa95d3b3d0 |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260825.json XRPL-MC cohort 20260825 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard (mc-forecast family) | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-09-10T16:22:45Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:d0a9f43b1d28aff6ccc21e483ab50a64d5bf3c8b2cdd5d3471b42157d990d1fd |
| prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260826.json XRPL-MC cohort 20260826 verdict — resolved against the STANDING acceptance standard (mc-forecast family) | xrpl-mc | verdict | 2026-09-10T16:22:45Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:23d194a21cbc97c3180d8325df85b5f67d6a551b2f94eb3f7ead77f0cb94a5e1 |
| prereg/xrpl-v2/20260923_160001_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | xrpl-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-23T16:00:01Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:20b1ffb1e8860a57fdde07d0e4baf1df122ed2763af41f0b104648b00e511b9d |
| prereg/xrpl-v2/20260924_160012_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | xrpl-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-24T16:00:12Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:2cec4f2acaa0570056c6ec3dfb296655c7588913453bd2d9197eff05610ec0d8 |
| prereg/xrpl-v2/20260925_160012_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | xrpl-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-25T16:00:12Z | 2026-09-25 16:07Z ledger 107229416 7 min after issue | sha256:f63bc7e1ef48e52804f8086e72bec7ee167264ef36a44bf447cfd26113f89142 |
| prereg/xrpl-v2/20260926_160011_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | xrpl-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-26T16:00:11Z | 2026-09-26 16:07Z ledger 107251663 7 min after issue | sha256:7277e817e0ef0b985e9a362c7da99f1c021f0250dd65f3ac0ef4f95687ae7b9f |
| prereg/xrpl-v2/20260927_160011_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | xrpl-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-27T16:00:11Z | 2026-09-27 16:07Z ledger 107273766 6 min after issue | sha256:72e742b14e3cda17feb2770930609bb6006ebfc9d267d692ba09d0205629e82c |
| prereg/xrpl-v2/20260928_160013_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | xrpl-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-28T16:00:13Z | 2026-09-28 16:07Z ledger 107295986 7 min after issue | sha256:e4bd41ea95283ff4c65b49e65db2812d15ef329f3cb8c76f2cb24b31b7c3a19d |
| prereg/xrpl-v2/20260929_160011_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | xrpl-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-29T16:00:11Z | 2026-09-29 16:07Z ledger 107318213 7 min after issue | sha256:761e107255dddc2f9fcaae073590053e1965875d06c8538a13ce504718a0756f |
| prereg/xrpl-v2/20260930_160012_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | xrpl-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-09-30T16:00:12Z | 2026-09-30 16:07Z ledger 107340487 7 min after issue | sha256:ebd4ee821eb5b54004c211824da2197fd636087ec13ec6832d1b771465f08fd3 |
| prereg/xrpl-v2/20261001_160011_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | xrpl-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-01T16:00:11Z | 2026-10-01 16:07Z ledger 107362856 6 min after issue | sha256:9533034db41f3f18ece80799c0bebd6af5a39a75e3c39e96e654e510e40089bf |
| prereg/xrpl-v2/20261002_160012_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | xrpl-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-02T16:00:12Z | 2026-10-02 16:07Z ledger 107385103 7 min after issue | sha256:1fd0bd7bcaf129a01048c94bab963f69576b8266cd3f9636dd9257015d04a50e |
| prereg/xrpl-v2/20261003_160010_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | xrpl-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-03T16:00:10Z | 2026-10-03 16:07Z ledger 107407571 7 min after issue | sha256:249d0d911809f0395e5eb9615fd54758a476cf2e38f93b30f2655938c6de32fe |
| prereg/xrpl-v2/20261005_160020_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | xrpl-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-05T16:00:20Z | 2026-10-05 16:07Z ledger 107452889 7 min after issue | sha256:73b9c0823bd406e21f1aa9cae0a406114fa464493eed83ac28f0514803be179e |
| prereg/xrpl-v2/20261006_160124_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json | xrpl-v2 | pre-registration | 2026-10-06T16:01:24Z | 2026-10-06 16:07Z ledger 107475192 5 min after issue | sha256:177bb198bac457c0bd15a1e4444a53083edad5e2aaabdd9ab576093bdef3d3af |
| prereg/xrpl/20260902_180000_xrpl_pooliq_verdict_20260902.json XRPL POOL IQ VERDICT - Outcome C, FAIL. The pre-registered dual gate is POWERED and the frozen v5 scorer does not clear it. | xrpl | verdict | 2026-09-02T18:00:00Z | 2026-09-25 12:56Z ledger 107226474 issued before anchoring began; its earlier timing rests on git history | sha256:4894c884eefa3c441cb46db56cd58f7da6806116e7ee4b1816ec86002927f83d |
A verdict is graded in an order fixed by the acceptance standard that was published before the outcome. Where the evidence does not reach the bar, the published tier says so.
prereg/op-mc/20260910_114213_op-mc_verdict_20260908.json
sha256:cf7ef246034d60cd5b1ecb451d37e28fed9383e9652bb202f17766cc1532e86b
zero breaches in AVOID+OK - calm window, tiers could not be shown wrong (AVOID-all-safe is a regime, not an error)
prereg/sol-v2/20260928_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260914.json
sha256:1fbd4d0d45b643cc1d95263b1a94a35bf90d4a4ca7860ba1b94c325186fa5a7e
zero breaches in AVOID+OK - calm window, tiers could not be shown wrong (AVOID-all-safe is a regime, not an error)
prereg/sol-v2/20260929_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260915.json
sha256:f3aac79c87846a85a4f430692f4314dda72480b40f5375c3b33b180ff968f84b
residual: no AGAINST trigger; discrimination not significant (Mann-Whitney p=0.929)
prereg/sol-v2/20260930_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260916.json
sha256:e69a233410bcdfb87cc5694fff3d97f5ee20ebc57272e275916ddac9f851e26e
residual: no AGAINST trigger; discrimination not significant (Mann-Whitney p=0.522)
prereg/sol-v2/20261001_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260917.json
sha256:7ea8c79ffe22ced70f920db94d1205174c7959bf04267abdbfd1c82273f4d416
zero breaches in AVOID+OK - calm window, tiers could not be shown wrong (AVOID-all-safe is a regime, not an error)
prereg/sol-v2/20261002_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260918.json
sha256:fc3b14c6c2f0790d0246942d0d520646131221a74058407afe6e011d76f590b3
zero breaches in AVOID+OK - calm window, tiers could not be shown wrong (AVOID-all-safe is a regime, not an error)
prereg/sol-v2/20261003_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260919.json
sha256:0b95d34865146041c31480d41ebb81242f823fa9c335009d762ca04d4f6add2a
zero breaches in AVOID+OK - calm window, tiers could not be shown wrong (AVOID-all-safe is a regime, not an error)
prereg/sol-v2/20261004_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260920.json
sha256:e077c101e1be9b244612df98e4c4f62d840467d0704d030e8f7e059d4726d8b7
zero breaches in AVOID+OK - calm window, tiers could not be shown wrong (AVOID-all-safe is a regime, not an error)
prereg/sol-v2/20261005_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260921.json
sha256:6ff24dcfc2d829eff60fcb3eefa096d2c267ee64a92915a1dfca03cfcd36ead8
zero breaches in AVOID+OK - calm window, tiers could not be shown wrong (AVOID-all-safe is a regime, not an error)
prereg/sol-v2/20261006_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260922.json
sha256:4099895cce4126e689fe7c88f7763d1510cfdb7cc553fbed2cc7c63e63732b18
INVALID first, then UNTESTED, then EVIDENCE AGAINST, then EVIDENCE OF SKILL — the literal order from the standard's the_four_verdicts. The cohort passed the two pipeline-shaped INVALID re-checks (ts-coupling and calibration density) and the ledger-shaped ones (state 'graded', calculation_error 0, fee_growth_anomaly 0), and qualifies UNTESTED on the first two conditions of the four.
REPORTED, DOES NOT CHANGE THE TIER under the literal order. The interval-coverage failure below is a real measurement and is published per the standard's one-line commitment, but a cohort that qualifies UNTESTED is evaluated as UNTESTED first; EVIDENCE AGAINST is not reached.
prereg/solana/20260817_140500_sol_verdict_20260813.json
sha256:ea032462d5186a1116be1668aa58db4b253530d9f0ceae9a84afd43fa1c60287
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.817028 > 0.05)
prereg/solana/20260924_183815_solana_verdict_20260910.json
sha256:10e2ff86f40f6ee8c6d1f8d953d73018b729b9f9b783ce572ed7bb2c477f8d32
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.814389 > 0.05)
prereg/solana/20260925_182501_solana_verdict_20260911.json
sha256:392f66425cd2b100a70113ad47b118c8d28a9c7f8f604bd0f0f15fe1af62e564
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.856925 > 0.05)
prereg/solana/20260926_182502_solana_verdict_20260912.json
sha256:882437c1de67a631592e6b1b4de27c717fe5f802423eadebfcfe61b8301d698f
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.815170 > 0.05)
prereg/solana/20260927_182501_solana_verdict_20260913.json
sha256:b32a6fb5540c126af6e7fa851e8abbf02f2a840a35a61d1435d099e21bfd905a
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.826384 > 0.05)
prereg/solana/20260928_182502_solana_verdict_20260914.json
sha256:f704a659b67772ed3972d84d57d669fe52625727273fd7c492a0bc1208591696
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.827282 > 0.05)
prereg/solana/20260929_182502_solana_verdict_20260915.json
sha256:f2f222b220e183fe9cc09bc46d3d8854940985ae646c16a70e2aa66c918f611b
AGAINST @trigger; fired: interval_coverage
prereg/solana/20260930_182502_solana_verdict_20260916.json
sha256:f097fa7974852d68cd3d5e5ca7a2977b19dcbd17d1fd15adaab52d7c51517cf3
AGAINST @trigger; fired: directional_inversion, interval_coverage
prereg/solana/20261001_182501_solana_verdict_20260917.json
sha256:d2bac979be01f933d43aacf3d920de4659b96eabaeeaef8bf1c1335afea2a47d
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.893592 > 0.05)
prereg/solana/20261002_182501_solana_verdict_20260918.json
sha256:1cfdf82298a90828946adac6b35b07b28fa14ac5bdd7c2d176f5b1293ba0a9d6
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.928637 > 0.05)
prereg/solana/20261003_182502_solana_verdict_20260919.json
sha256:672b332a7cfe115e42c908905651af66f1546cb09a9c45ecdad7da500aa30b85
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.915912 > 0.05)
prereg/solana/20261004_182502_solana_verdict_20260920.json
sha256:9b516e481123a7907441f7d47d167055f160fd246556b6152c226ed7d2009202
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.944794 > 0.05)
prereg/solana/20261005_182502_solana_verdict_20260921.json
sha256:a37baecb1ae48a12b9b198458d6bbdf181a55ac43fed47bb9da24a70bba48693
INVALID first, then UNTESTED, then EVIDENCE AGAINST, then EVIDENCE OF SKILL — the literal order parsed from the acceptance standard's evaluation_order text. The cohort passed the pipeline-shaped INVALID re-checks (ts-coupling and calibration density, plus ledger-shaped state 'graded', n_graded = 22/22, calculation_error 0, fee_growth_anomaly 0 on every row).
prereg/sui/20260831_112016_sui_verdict_20260827.json
sha256:891fe2c78d7ec7b83494897f8f5655c97b19b27d27b5fd5dea05be75a3654a79
INVALID first (outcome-independent pipeline/integrity check) otherwise AGAINST if K >= 4 realized traps otherwise UNTESTED (0 <= K <= 3).
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260826_111905_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260825.json
sha256:674bb98a31d6a73e858859e14b4223ad27d44a3c9f0d2bbfe0c1341c31548479
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.334615 > 0.05)
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260812.json
sha256:3888d877f028d759b2dc6ccfef7de1c3d1c0b85b0c3350e4a43d5842f8f5c7d2
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.350811 > 0.05)
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260813.json
sha256:a468d5b477dcf1402b7d1607ff84f4221e3d39b1acce0612d5134f8d1eeb85ed
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.351617 > 0.05)
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260814.json
sha256:36b78cc092b8456172e58c4da0b2700cf178abc8d8c5e7d4c8a36164b024ff5a
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.361025 > 0.05)
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260815.json
sha256:c409dffc8a5dd1f93fa17c0c273d809c19f00be4ef819301d6fac76ee76f0ed6
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.377831 > 0.05)
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260816.json
sha256:367408c16db09902cdbbd1ff518e034d99c4cc3a9806a370a6b9665c3355925e
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.398297 > 0.05)
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260817.json
sha256:fbd2f2b7e50446003c91de6896e75e8da2665eec3eae064be6ca48797463954a
AGAINST @trigger; fired: interval_coverage
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260818.json
sha256:4b1ace7d470e2ba47d79846e713af8262077570f2095670b72160a7c3c6c19be
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.407540 > 0.05)
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260819.json
sha256:e30f0904f004181c639ad60f0231514be576d9a95cd9045100504594e011da99
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.413352 > 0.05)
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260820.json
sha256:b8ee3952dd46fbfbd62d5e745ee8c8a87c6ec4a04d842bee7704f80a86ec86b0
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.419179 > 0.05)
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260821.json
sha256:90a856b38fea3b9730464d5174b7ab7088fba151d9ce488de8e990ce1965e33c
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.424903 > 0.05)
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260822.json
sha256:fb827fdac512b295b7bb37dbd602da2f33ee54c29ec45ba20d9dd833f126262a
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.449220 > 0.05)
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260823.json
sha256:76ecbc8f8b3ae2313f8e2eba90fcc01da7b6ac71952755383143eec85066a920
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.452883 > 0.05)
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260824.json
sha256:609ae85b6bbc9a5b200bfe86ad7c380625ffdd96e54ce4f2799138aa95d3b3d0
could not be shown wrong: 0 realized traps and the all-safe outcome was not surprising (P(0 traps)=0.465832 > 0.05)
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260825.json
sha256:d0a9f43b1d28aff6ccc21e483ab50a64d5bf3c8b2cdd5d3471b42157d990d1fd
all skill conditions: falsifiable, traps=1 in central90 [0,2], misses=1 in [1,4], top(-0.0109)<bot(0.0007), 1/HHI=4.05>=4.0
prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260826.json
sha256:23d194a21cbc97c3180d8325df85b5f67d6a551b2f94eb3f7ead77f0cb94a5e1
Outcome C - quorum met but does not clear the gate, OR Maturity Deadline reached without quorum (VERDICT_PROTOCOL.md).
prereg/xrpl/20260902_180000_xrpl_pooliq_verdict_20260902.json
sha256:4894c884eefa3c441cb46db56cd58f7da6806116e7ee4b1816ec86002927f83d
An UNTESTED verdict is not a win. It means the cohort did not produce enough evidence to either contradict the model or demonstrate skill. It is published with the same weight as any other outcome, because a record that only reports the decisive results is the selection problem again in a different costume.
Labels, in plain words. Older streams used older names; each file keeps its exact label. EVIDENCE OF SKILL / CALIBRATED: passed its test. EVIDENCE AGAINST / FAIL: failed it (Pool IQ's "Outcome C" is its failing branch). UNTESTED / NO_EDGE_DETECTED: too little or too even data to pass or fail; not a win. INVALID: the run broke its own rules (missed days, too many ungradable rows), so nothing is concluded.
The text below is not commentary. It is quoted out of the acceptance standards themselves, which were required to state their own weaknesses before any outcome was known.
PRE-COMMITTED, BEFORE THE OUTCOME
If, on 2026-08-13, the 23 predictions were mostly near zero and no pool trapped, we will publish that as UNTESTED - nothing learned about the model - together with the interval-coverage count, the E = 0.2886 that shows the cohort could not have been wrong, and the statement that roc_auc 0.0 and brier 0.00135 in the ledger are undefined metrics coerced to floats and mean neither failure nor success. We will not report it as 23/23.
23 pools in one window is not n = 23.
PRIMARY FIGURE: n_eff ~ 2.5 (2.32 to 2.52 from return correlation). The |returns| estimator gives 4.56 because absolute returns are LESS cross-correlated (rho 0.18) than signed returns (rho 0.37) in this sample. Report the range as 2.3 to 4.6 ACROSS ESTIMATORS and do not claim a direction of bias: the dependence that actually governs a joint trap event is tail co-movement, which neither Pearson estimator measures, and 14 daily observations cannot pin it down. What is NOT in doubt is the order of magnitude - n_eff is single digits, not 23.
Release requires: at least 8 resolved NON-OVERLAPPING cohorts
Release requires: at least 20 realized traps AND at least 20 realized non-traps, pooled
Release requires: the correlation-adjusted effective sample size reported alongside every figure
alignment_invariant: The two sides do not call the SAME function object for IL. The simulator calls clmm_impermanent_loss (human-price basis); the grader calls il_native_from_sqrt (raw sqrt-price basis). Both are single-sourced, and their measured worst-case disagreement over a sweep of decimals, sides and price ratios is 3.2e-15 - 6e-14 of the -0.05 threshold, immaterial. But test_alignment.py asserts identity on clmm_impermanent_loss, which the grader's evaluation path never calls: the assertion guards a dead import. Inlining the grader's real IL path would leave all 46 gates green. The invariant is true today and is NOT enforced where it matters.
prereg/disclosures/20260806_220100_solana_acceptance_standard.json
PRE-COMMITTED, BEFORE THE OUTCOME
If, on 2026-08-27, the 22 batch-B predictions produce zero realized traps, we will publish that as EVIDENCE AGAINST @1% the model - the zero_trap_contradiction: P(0 traps) = Pi(1-y_prob) over the frozen y-vector = 0.0021433554373314957, i.e. zero traps is a 0.21% event under the model, below the 1% level -> EVIDENCE AGAINST @1% - together with the interval-coverage count, and the statement that roc_auc/pr_auc/brier and precision/recall are UNDEFINED in the zero-trap ledger (the grader's safe_* wrappers return the UNDEFINED sentinel on single-class y_true; safe_precision/safe_recall gained the degenerate guard on 2026-08-18). We will not report it as 22/22. If any pool traps, the verdict is decided by the triggers in v2, and in particular a row with y_prob < 0.01 that traps is EVIDENCE AGAINST outright.
Release requires: at least 8 resolved NON-OVERLAPPING cohorts
Release requires: at least 20 realized traps AND at least 20 realized non-traps, pooled
Release requires: the correlation-adjusted effective sample size reported alongside every figure
prereg/disclosures/20260818_120000_sui_acceptance_standard.json
SKILL tier: STRUCTURALLY UNAVAILABLE.
max(y_prob) = 0.4399 < PROBABILITY_DECISION_THRESHOLD = 0.50, so no pool crosses the decision boundary and the predicted-positive count is 0/18. Precision is undefined (no positive predictions), recall is identically 0 (no predicted positives to be correct), and rank discrimination is structurally weak because 12 of 18 pools carry y_prob = 0.
The limitation is predictive-information concentration rather than simply pool count. 12 of 18 pools carry y_prob = 0 (structurally uninformative), and the 6 informative pools concentrate in 1/HHI = 2.83 effective pools. One pool (STX) alone contributes 49.31% of E; the top two contribute 80.01%. The cohort's joint distribution is governed by these few heavy contributors, not by the nominal 18.
14-day horizon-matched correlation is not estimable from the available pre-genesis data. Daily correlation must NOT be presented as a measurement of 14-day correlation.
This is a MODEL ASSUMPTION, not an empirical observation.
UNTESTED must NOT be described as evidence supporting the model. It is the residual state after the validated AGAINST threshold.
prereg/disclosures/20260819_160000_xrpl-mc_genesis_acceptance_standard.json
A git commit date is whatever its author typed. So every change to the record is also fingerprinted on the XRP Ledger: a transaction whose memo carries the publiciq commit and a SHA-256 over every file in it. Ledger close times cannot be backdated, by us or anyone. The “xrpl anchor” column above is the earliest such transaction that contains each artifact byte for byte: the artifact provably existed no later than that time.
Anchoring began on the date above. Artifacts issued earlier are anchored from that date only; their earlier existence rests on the repository’s push history, not on the ledger. The account is declared three ways that must agree: its on-ledger Domain (gradedlp.com), xrp-ledger.toml, and ANCHORS.md in the record itself.
The record is a public git repository. Verification needs one dependency (jcs, the RFC-8785 JSON canonicalizer) and Python's standard library. The verifier imports nothing from this project, so it cannot be verifying against our own bug.
git clone https://github.com/GradedLP/publiciq.git cd publiciq pip install jcs python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/avax-v2/20260925_144132_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/avax-v2/20260926_144004_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/avax-v2/20260927_144004_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/avax-v2/20260929_144004_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/avax-v2/20260930_144004_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/avax-v2/20261001_144004_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/avax-v2/20261002_144004_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/avax-v2/20261003_144004_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/avax-v2/20261004_144005_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/avax-v2/20261005_144005_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/avax-v2/20261006_144005_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/base-v2/20260929_134210_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/base-v2/20260930_134009_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/base-v2/20261001_134009_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/base-v2/20261002_134009_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/base-v2/20261003_134009_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/base-v2/20261004_134009_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/base-v2/20261005_134009_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/base-v2/20261006_134009_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/base-v4/20261001_135601_base-v4_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/base-v4/20261002_135503_base-v4_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/base-v4/20261003_135503_base-v4_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/base-v4/20261004_135503_base-v4_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/base-v4/20261005_135503_base-v4_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/base-v4/20261006_135503_base-v4_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 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prereg/disclosures/20260925_085128_standing_acceptance_standard_avax_v2_sealed.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/disclosures/20260925_085128_standing_acceptance_standard_sui_v2_sealed.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/disclosures/20260925_085541_standing_acceptance_standard_poolwatch_v2_addendum_1.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/disclosures/20260928_162719_breach_probability_family_addendum_1_confident_calls.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/disclosures/20260928_172146_standing_acceptance_standard_base_v2_sealed.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/disclosures/20260928_172146_standing_acceptance_standard_bsc_v2_sealed.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/disclosures/20260929_094815_standing_acceptance_standard_poolwatch_v2_addendum_2.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/disclosures/20260929_112611_standing_acceptance_standard_hyperevm_v2_sealed.json python3 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prereg/disclosures/20261005_122039_code_fingerprints.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/disclosures/20261006_112129_standing_acceptance_standard_fee_coverage_v1_sealed.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/disclosures/20261006_112201_code_fingerprints.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/disclosures/20261006_143124_funding_independence_policy_v1.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/fee-coverage/20261006_131415_fee-coverage_bsc-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/fee-coverage/20261006_134417_fee-coverage_base-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/fee-coverage/20261006_141407_fee-coverage_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/fee-coverage/20261006_142920_fee-coverage_monad-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/fee-coverage/20261006_144402_fee-coverage_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/fee-coverage/20261006_152813_fee-coverage_op-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/hyperevm-v2/20260929_141132_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/hyperevm-v2/20260930_141004_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/hyperevm-v2/20261001_141004_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/hyperevm-v2/20261002_141004_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/hyperevm-v2/20261003_141004_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/hyperevm-v2/20261004_141004_hyperevm-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py 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prereg/sol-v2/20261001_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260917.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sol-v2/20261002_153002_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sol-v2/20261002_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260918.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sol-v2/20261003_153002_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sol-v2/20261003_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260919.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sol-v2/20261004_153002_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sol-v2/20261004_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260920.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sol-v2/20261005_153002_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sol-v2/20261005_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260921.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sol-v2/20261006_153002_sol-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sol-v2/20261006_194001_sol-v2_verdict_20260922.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/solana/20260803_112507_solana_addendum_20260730.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/solana/20260817_140500_sol_verdict_20260813.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/solana/20260924_183815_solana_verdict_20260910.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/solana/20260925_182501_solana_verdict_20260911.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/solana/20260926_182502_solana_verdict_20260912.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/solana/20260927_182501_solana_verdict_20260913.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/solana/20260928_182502_solana_verdict_20260914.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/solana/20260929_182502_solana_verdict_20260915.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/solana/20260930_182502_solana_verdict_20260916.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/solana/20261001_182501_solana_verdict_20260917.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/solana/20261002_182501_solana_verdict_20260918.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/solana/20261003_182502_solana_verdict_20260919.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/solana/20261004_182502_solana_verdict_20260920.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/solana/20261005_182502_solana_verdict_20260921.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sui-v2/20260925_120201_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sui-v2/20260926_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sui-v2/20260927_120005_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sui-v2/20260928_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sui-v2/20260929_120005_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sui-v2/20260930_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sui-v2/20261001_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sui-v2/20261002_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sui-v2/20261003_120005_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sui-v2/20261004_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sui-v2/20261005_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sui-v2/20261006_120006_sui-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sui/20260814_120000_sui_addendum_20260813.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/sui/20260831_112016_sui_verdict_20260827.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260826_111905_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260825.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260812.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260813.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260814.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260815.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260816.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260817.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260818.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260819.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260820.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260821.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260822.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260823.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260824.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260825.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-mc/20260910_162245_xrpl-mc_verdict_20260826.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-v2/20260923_160001_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-v2/20260924_160012_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-v2/20260925_160012_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-v2/20260926_160011_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-v2/20260927_160011_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-v2/20260928_160013_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-v2/20260929_160011_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-v2/20260930_160012_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-v2/20261001_160011_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-v2/20261002_160012_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-v2/20261003_160010_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-v2/20261005_160020_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl-v2/20261006_160124_xrpl-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json python3 verifier/verify_addendum_hash.py prereg/xrpl/20260902_180000_xrpl_pooliq_verdict_20260902.json
All 240 report MATCH. The procedure is: drop the addendum_hash field, canonicalize what remains with RFC-8785, take SHA-256, compare. Change one byte of any artifact and its hash stops matching — which is the whole point of publishing them in advance.
Repository: https://github.com/GradedLP/publiciq
This reads the anchors straight from public XRP Ledger nodes and recomputes every fingerprint from your clone. Python standard library and git; it trusts nothing we serve.
curl -O https://gradedlp.com/anchors/verify_anchor.py python3 verify_anchor.py --repo . # every anchor: VERIFIED / FAIL python3 verify_anchor.py --repo . --file prereg/avax-v2/20260925_144132_avax-v2_preregistered_at_prediction.json
Generated from 240 published artifacts. Every figure and hash on this page was read out of the artifacts at build time, not transcribed — so this page cannot drift from the record it describes.
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