XRP Ledger · XRPL AMM · rsR249BtU6Qf5XGLtJZBVZsUa8MczGrnph

OAR/XRP AMM

Market risk only. These calls measure what ordinary price movement does to a position. They say nothing about smart-contract bugs, hacks, depegs, rug pulls or the protocol itself.

What the calls on this page measure:

XRPL v2: the chance that providing liquidity loses to simply holding the two assets over 14 days.

AVOID / WATCH / OK are each board's own tiers, set from the probability by thresholds fixed in that board's sealed standard before its first call. Every call links to the file it was frozen in, published before its window opened.

Latest calls

Board	Frozen	Range	Chance	Tier	Proof
XRPL v2	2026-10-06	full range	42% lose	WATCH	frozen file

This pool's record

No call for this pool has matured yet. Each one resolves 14 days after its freeze.

Every call, newest first

Consecutive days with the same call and the same kind of outcome are folded into one row; open it to see each day's file.

Frozen	Board	Range	Chance	Tier	Outcome	Proof
2026-10-05 → 10-06 ×2	XRPL v2	full range	42% lose	WATCH	pending · resolve ~2026-10-19 → 10-20	2 calls 2026-10-06: call 2026-10-05: call
2026-10-03	XRPL v2	full range	43% lose	WATCH	pending · resolves ~2026-10-17	call
2026-10-02	XRPL v2	full range	50% lose	WATCH	pending · resolves ~2026-10-16	call
2026-09-30 → 10-01 ×2	XRPL v2	full range	54% lose	WATCH	pending · resolve ~2026-10-14 → 10-15	2 calls 2026-10-01: call 2026-09-30: call
2026-09-29	XRPL v2	full range	46% lose	WATCH	pending · resolves ~2026-10-13	call
2026-09-28	XRPL v2	full range	45% lose	WATCH	pending · resolves ~2026-10-12	call
2026-09-27	XRPL v2	full range	43% lose	WATCH	pending · resolves ~2026-10-11	call
2026-09-26	XRPL v2	full range	33% lose	WATCH	pending · resolves ~2026-10-10	call
2026-09-24 → 09-25 ×2	XRPL v2	full range	31% lose	WATCH	pending · resolve ~2026-10-08 → 10-09	2 calls 2026-09-25: call 2026-09-24: call
2026-09-23	XRPL v2	full range	30% lose	WATCH	pending · resolves ~2026-10-07	call