STX/XRP AMM
Market risk only. These calls measure what ordinary price movement does to a position. They say nothing about smart-contract bugs, hacks, depegs, rug pulls or the protocol itself.
What the calls on this page measure:
- XRPL v2: the chance that providing liquidity loses to simply holding the two assets over 14 days.
AVOID / WATCH / OK are each board's own tiers, set from the probability by thresholds fixed in that board's sealed standard before its first call. Every call links to the file it was frozen in, published before its window opened.
Latest calls
| Board | Frozen | Range | Chance | Tier | Proof |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRPL v2 | 2026-10-06 | full range | 46% lose | WATCH | frozen file |
This pool's record
No call for this pool has matured yet. Each one resolves 14 days after its freeze.
Every call, newest first
Consecutive days with the same call and the same kind of outcome are folded into one row; open it to see each day's file.
| Frozen | Board | Range | Chance | Tier | Outcome | Proof |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | XRPL v2 | full range | 46% lose | WATCH | pending · resolves ~2026-10-20 | call |
| 2026-10-05 | XRPL v2 | full range | 44% lose | WATCH | pending · resolves ~2026-10-19 | call |
| 2026-10-02 → 10-03 ×2 | XRPL v2 | full range | 44% lose | WATCH | pending · resolve ~2026-10-16 → 10-17 | |
| 2026-10-01 | XRPL v2 | full range | 59% lose | WATCH | pending · resolves ~2026-10-15 | call |
| 2026-09-30 | XRPL v2 | full range | 61% lose | AVOID | pending · resolves ~2026-10-14 | call |
| 2026-09-29 | XRPL v2 | full range | 59% lose | WATCH | pending · resolves ~2026-10-13 | call |
| 2026-09-28 | XRPL v2 | full range | 64% lose | AVOID | pending · resolves ~2026-10-12 | call |
| 2026-09-27 | XRPL v2 | full range | 58% lose | WATCH | pending · resolves ~2026-10-11 | call |
| 2026-09-26 | XRPL v2 | full range | 59% lose | WATCH | pending · resolves ~2026-10-10 | call |
| 2026-09-23 → 09-25 ×3 | XRPL v2 | full range | 58% lose | WATCH | pending · resolve ~2026-10-07 → 10-09 |