GRADEDLP

Optimism · uniswap · 0x0392b358ce4547601befa962680bede836606ae2

SNX/ETH uniswap 0x0392b3

Market risk only. These calls measure what ordinary price movement does to a position. They say nothing about smart-contract bugs, hacks, depegs, rug pulls or the protocol itself.

What the calls on this page measure:

AVOID / WATCH / OK are each board's own tiers, set from the probability by thresholds fixed in that board's sealed standard before its first call. Every call links to the file it was frozen in, published before its window opened.

Opening a range here today?
  • OP v2: narrowest OK range is ±35% (8% chance it breaks within 14 days). Anything tighter is WATCH or AVOID.

Each chance is how often a range this wide broke across the last 2 years of 14-day windows; it changes little day to day.

Latest calls

BoardFrozenRangeChanceTierProof
OP v22026-10-06±5%99% breakAVOIDfrozen file
OP v22026-10-06±15%39% breakWATCHfrozen file
OP v22026-10-06±35%8% breakOKfrozen file

This pool's record

No call for this pool has matured yet. Each one resolves 14 days after its freeze.

Every call, newest first

Consecutive days with the same call and the same kind of outcome are folded into one row; open it to see each day's file.

FrozenBoardRangeChanceTierOutcomeProof
2026-09-22 → 10-06 ×15OP v2±35%8% breakOKpending · resolve ~2026-10-06 → 10-20
15 calls2026-10-06: call
2026-10-05: call
2026-10-04: call
2026-10-03: call
2026-10-02: call
2026-10-01: call
2026-09-30: call
2026-09-29: call
2026-09-28: call
2026-09-27: call
2026-09-26: call
2026-09-25: call
2026-09-24: call
2026-09-23: call
2026-09-22: call
2026-10-05 → 10-06 ×2OP v2±15%39% breakWATCHpending · resolve ~2026-10-19 → 10-20
2 calls2026-10-06: call
2026-10-05: call
2026-10-05 → 10-06 ×2OP v2±5%99% breakAVOIDpending · resolve ~2026-10-19 → 10-20
2 calls2026-10-06: call
2026-10-05: call
2026-10-03 → 10-04 ×2OP v2±15%37% breakWATCHpending · resolve ~2026-10-17 → 10-18
2 calls2026-10-04: call
2026-10-03: call
2026-10-04OP v2±5%>99% breakAVOIDpending · resolves ~2026-10-18call
2026-09-29 → 10-03 ×5OP v2±5%99% breakAVOIDpending · resolve ~2026-10-13 → 10-17
5 calls2026-10-03: call
2026-10-02: call
2026-10-01: call
2026-09-30: call
2026-09-29: call
2026-10-01 → 10-02 ×2OP v2±15%38% breakWATCHpending · resolve ~2026-10-15 → 10-16
2 calls2026-10-02: call
2026-10-01: call
2026-09-30OP v2±15%37% breakWATCHpending · resolves ~2026-10-14call
2026-09-29OP v2±15%38% breakWATCHpending · resolves ~2026-10-13call
2026-09-28OP v2±15%37% breakWATCHpending · resolves ~2026-10-12call
2026-09-28OP v2±5%>99% breakAVOIDpending · resolves ~2026-10-12call
2026-09-27OP v2±15%38% breakWATCHpending · resolves ~2026-10-11call
2026-09-27OP v2±5%99% breakAVOIDpending · resolves ~2026-10-11call
2026-09-26OP v2±15%36% breakWATCHpending · resolves ~2026-10-10call
2026-09-26OP v2±5%>99% breakAVOIDpending · resolves ~2026-10-10call
2026-09-24 → 09-25 ×2OP v2±15%37% breakWATCHpending · resolve ~2026-10-08 → 10-09
2 calls2026-09-25: call
2026-09-24: call
2026-09-24 → 09-25 ×2OP v2±5%99% breakAVOIDpending · resolve ~2026-10-08 → 10-09
2 calls2026-09-25: call
2026-09-24: call
2026-09-23OP v2±15%36% breakWATCHpending · resolves ~2026-10-07call
2026-09-23OP v2±5%>99% breakAVOIDpending · resolves ~2026-10-07call
2026-09-22OP v2±15%37% breakWATCHpending · resolves ~2026-10-06call
2026-09-22OP v2±5%99% breakAVOIDpending · resolves ~2026-10-06call